PolyBot

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Traders

0xD62840CF26Fab216a46C5c9e9920487098e243c1-1761619024616

0xd62840cf26fab216a46c5c9e9920487098e243c1

Realised P&L
$-53.1k
Volume
$1.84M
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1690.026$1.6k$8.4k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4360.065$300.16$1.7k
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1000.033$2.32$4.82
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1700.011$0.05$0.81
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$403.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-06 05:07US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.957$2.3k
04-06 05:06US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.85$2.4k
03-20 01:17Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?SELL0.84$840.00
03-16 02:24US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.29$1.9k
03-14 04:46US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.6$438.62
03-04 02:15US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?SELL0.969$2.4k
02-28 13:06Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?BUY0.1379515058$44.66
02-28 13:02Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.987$2.2k
02-28 13:00Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.9424863973$1.9k
02-28 10:37Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?SELL0.0043723707$69.65
02-28 10:36Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?SELL0.004$100.00
02-28 10:28Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?BUY0.0708423366$15.47
02-28 10:08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.27$1.5k
02-28 08:36Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1930038495$835.28
02-28 08:31Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.5096637133$2.3k