PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x981205e2d5d6cCA7e01D9ef248515444cDd0644f-1775695734175

0x981205e2d5d6cca7e01d9ef248515444cdd0644f

Realised P&L
$-18.5k
Volume
$413.2k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1750.165$3.5k$222.20
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.026$378.57$621.41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No0.5830.000$0.00$2.0k
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$110.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.6720.000$0.00$2.0k
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$360.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Up0.5160.000$0.00$7.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Down0.2900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET · Up0.3530.000$0.00$2.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No0.3650.000$0.00$2.8k
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET · Down0.2300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Down0.1300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$200.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 18:01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.583$416.88
07-16 18:00Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.416$2.0k
07-01 19:47Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1839999997$500.00
07-01 19:44Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.085$172.78
07-01 17:00Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.4199999899$10.00
07-01 17:00Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
06-30 21:49Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0709999978$30.00
06-30 21:49Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.022$31.43
06-29 17:47Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?BUY0.32$110.00
06-29 17:47Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?SELL0.22$113.79
06-28 08:50Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0209999993$30.00
06-28 07:57Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1899999994$200.00
06-28 07:56Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.5799999995$300.00
06-25 03:34Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0579999942$10.00
06-25 03:33Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?SELL0.0060707698$12.02