0x981205e2d5d6cCA7e01D9ef248515444cDd0644f-1775695734175
0x981205e2d5d6cca7e01d9ef248515444cdd0644f
- Realised P&L
- $-18.5k
- Volume
- $413.2k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.490Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$1.6kat 0.712US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.165Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$739.70at 0.678US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$546.30at 0.951Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 18:01 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.583 | $416.88 |
| 07-16 18:00 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.416 | $2.0k |
| 07-01 19:47 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1839999997 | $500.00 |
| 07-01 19:44 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.085 | $172.78 |
| 07-01 17:00 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 17:00 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 21:49 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0709999978 | $30.00 |
| 06-30 21:49 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.022 | $31.43 |
| 06-29 17:47 | Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $110.00 |
| 06-29 17:47 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | SELL | 0.22 | $113.79 |
| 06-28 08:50 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0209999993 | $30.00 |
| 06-28 07:57 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.1899999994 | $200.00 |
| 06-28 07:56 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.5799999995 | $300.00 |
| 06-25 03:34 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0579999942 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 03:33 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.0060707698 | $12.02 |