PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3Ac4443Fec5D95795D6857C52C0C6884C3200E8B-1773197078829

0x3ac4443fec5d95795d6857c52c0c6884c3200e8b

Realised P&L
$-24.0k
Volume
$587.5k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$9.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.4040.165$5.0k$7.2k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2750.065$2.4k$7.9k
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.4620.145$1.4k$3.2k
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.3700.065$658.13$3.1k
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.026$265.00$735.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No0.3100.000$0.00$496.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.2220.000$0.00$3.3k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.7300.000$0.00$1.1k
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00$4.3k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.8450.000$0.00$1.9k
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June? · No0.7900.000$0.00$1.6k
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? · No0.6000.000$0.00$1.5k
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 01:30Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.109$1.1k
06-04 02:52US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.955$1.1k
05-25 03:12Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?SELL0.996$5.0k
05-04 00:42US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.81$2.0k
04-02 04:34Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?BUY0.79$970.17
04-02 02:31Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?BUY0.6842264018$485.66
03-23 02:50Netanyahu out by April 30?BUY0.039$1.99
03-17 04:20Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.043$134.45