0x3Ac4443Fec5D95795D6857C52C0C6884C3200E8B-1773197078829
0x3ac4443fec5d95795d6857c52c0c6884c3200e8b
- Realised P&L
- $-24.0k
- Volume
- $587.5k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $9.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.1kat 0.597US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$4.5kat 0.703US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
- +$2.9kat 0.385US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$2.6kat 0.738US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.787US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 01:30 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.109 | $1.1k |
| 06-04 02:52 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.955 | $1.1k |
| 05-25 03:12 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL | 0.996 | $5.0k |
| 05-04 00:42 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $2.0k |
| 04-02 04:34 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | BUY | 0.79 | $970.17 |
| 04-02 02:31 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | BUY | 0.6842264018 | $485.66 |
| 03-23 02:50 | Netanyahu out by April 30? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.99 |
| 03-17 04:20 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.043 | $134.45 |