gaugeinvariance
0x17a2ca00b8319537ddd20ac46c9543450a37ba19
- Realised P&L
- $-943.70
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $156.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.026 | $94.65 | −$405.35 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.193 | 0.040 | $61.49 | −$238.35 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.467 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 12:50 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399876691 | $500.00 |
| 01-31 12:33 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.4668874167 | $300.00 |
| 01-31 12:21 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.1926202495 | $299.84 |