PolyBot

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Traders

0x44d10ad975c3b6b921badf9882e4c281a45c4ed3

0xb9e976e6eea209501c4b34773f6e624f1197e211

Realised P&L
$6.8k
Volume
$178.8k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$6.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0620.165$2.6k+$1.6k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.4970.165$995.72$2.0k
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1940.040$671.45$2.6k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1290.029$570.00$2.0k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.045$405.00$495.00
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0200.015$363.42$136.57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3900.065$214.24$1.1k
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0900.043$85.00$95.00
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1400.055$58.93$91.07
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.026$53.00$147.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.2620.000$0.00$75.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 21:56Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.22$104.72
09-12 21:02Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2099999996$100.00
09-10 19:54Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.3499999997$100.00
05-02 21:27Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1399999993$150.00
05-02 21:22Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0199493144$500.00
04-01 21:29Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0624445639$1000.00
04-01 21:26US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.62$3.0k
04-01 21:21Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.497127432$3.0k
04-01 21:20US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.5499999998$1000.00
04-01 21:19US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.6474558545$2.0k
04-01 21:18Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?BUY0.63$3.0k
04-01 21:18Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?BUY0.47$2.0k
03-10 02:16US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.4571157367$1000.00
03-10 02:16US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.6799999999$1000.00
03-10 02:14Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?BUY0.6999999999$1000.00