PolyBot

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Traders

gatorr

0x93abbc022ce98d6f45d4444b594791cc4b7a9723

Realised P&L
$1.13M
Volume
$52.39M
Markets traded
941
Open portfolio
$68.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded941
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2530.160$61.6k$36.1k
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.1070.115$5.8k+$416.68
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.055$1.2k$315.00
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.026$92.75$327.25
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.1800.185$91.92+$2.48
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0400.026$34.45$17.06
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx · Atlanta Dream0.5700.000$0.00$1.1k
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2750.000$0.00$20.8k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00$196.90
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) · Spurs0.4300.000$0.00$1.3k
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire · PortlandFire0.5760.000$0.00$32.4k
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics · Washington Mystics0.5500.000$0.00$3.0k
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) · Golden State Valkyries0.5200.000$0.00$13.1k
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) · PortlandFire0.4800.000$0.00$9.8k
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5) · PortlandFire0.5200.000$0.00$3.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 00:16Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$1.5k
07-11 01:13Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 11?BUY0.35$477.29
07-03 20:50Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceBUY0.17$85.00
07-03 20:34Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceBUY0.47$305.50
07-03 20:11Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceBUY0.43$430.00
07-03 19:26Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5BUY0.52$556.40
06-30 19:35Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.0972737459$37.50
06-29 21:53Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.0941958146$63.02
06-27 21:21Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.179$196.90
06-17 00:26Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$200.00
06-10 23:17Spread: Spurs (-1.5)BUY0.43$907.24
06-10 16:48Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$166.38
06-10 01:41Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)BUY0.48$14.5k
06-10 01:40Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)BUY0.52$9.3k
06-08 22:53Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5BUY0.53$317.25