PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x6bd3561530e94da23d44bf19a78c8970f5363e23

0x6bd3561530e94da23d44bf19a78c8970f5363e23

Realised P&L
$-713.30
Volume
$89.2k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$5.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration96.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)15.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1460.185$4.1k+$855.54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1820.175$492.12−$20.92
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0410.040$237.36−$9.63
US military draft authorized in 2026? · Yes0.0550.021$215.30−$339.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 12:50Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?SELL0.1$120.00
10-05 13:31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.15$22.50
10-05 13:31U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?SELL0.0529315235$19.56
10-05 04:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.8$162.23
09-20 23:32US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.2199999986$6.12
09-20 23:32US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.1299999997$8.17
09-19 04:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.82$32.80
09-17 17:28Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.1399999998$59.98
09-16 19:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?BUY0.0903835863$65.11
09-16 19:36Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?SELL0.15$30.00
09-16 10:33Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?SELL0.0156330796$137.23
09-15 23:34Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.1934086845$333.38
09-15 23:33Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0411034742$247.00
09-15 23:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.82$597.27
08-15 16:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.53$26.50