PolyBot

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Traders

DomaDevil

0x4d9e53f1aac4b0a526ec1c20abf7e210d221e3c8

Realised P&L
$-884.49
Volume
$80.8k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$92.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 23:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 7?BUY0.025$10.00
09-30 23:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 7?BUY0.0438683947$10.00
09-28 14:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 4?BUY0.032$10.00
09-28 14:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 4?BUY0.0479999998$10.00
09-28 14:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 4?BUY0.011$5.00
09-27 00:48Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?SELL0.24$54.54
09-26 00:38Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?BUY0.2199999993$50.00
09-24 07:10Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?SELL0.61$53.04
09-22 15:26Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?BUY0.2299999993$20.00
09-22 15:18Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?SELL0.005$10.00
09-19 08:13Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.04$10.00
09-19 08:13Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.005$10.00
09-11 03:46Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0227928619$10.00
09-03 11:17Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0699999979$30.00
08-30 22:37Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0342889484$20.00