DomaDevil
0x4d9e53f1aac4b0a526ec1c20abf7e210d221e3c8
- Realised P&L
- $-884.49
- Volume
- $80.8k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $92.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$553.34at 0.174US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$132.22at 0.132US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$112.08at 0.696US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$103.77at 0.920US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$66.77at 0.310US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 23:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 23:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.0438683947 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 14:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.032 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 14:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.0479999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 14:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.011 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 00:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | SELL | 0.24 | $54.54 |
| 09-26 00:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.2199999993 | $50.00 |
| 09-24 07:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | SELL | 0.61 | $53.04 |
| 09-22 15:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $20.00 |
| 09-22 15:18 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.005 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 08:13 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 08:13 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 03:46 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0227928619 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 11:17 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999979 | $30.00 |
| 08-30 22:37 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0342889484 | $20.00 |