PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1151a8eA57b5B25105B4F01fBd22bfd07fe7C9aB-1769285568771

0x1151a8ea57b5b25105b4f01fbd22bfd07fe7c9ab

Realised P&L
$645.50
Volume
$139.1k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$41.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.026$41.66$84.12
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$50.00
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.0780.000$0.00$99.00
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$100.00
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? · No0.0030.000$0.00$132.48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$49.62
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$50.00
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$55.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-11 05:56Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?BUY0.0780258583$99.00
05-04 16:52Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$125.78
05-02 22:13Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?BUY0.0319874857$100.00
05-02 22:12Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?BUY0.0257963083$50.00
05-02 22:12Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?BUY0.0269972428$50.00
05-02 22:12Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6?BUY0.0145972117$55.83
04-28 18:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?SELL0.19$206.02
04-27 18:57Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?BUY0.003$32.36
04-27 18:17Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?SELL0.997$1.1k
04-27 07:47Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?BUY0.3449752256$300.42
04-26 22:17Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?BUY0.0393562637$25.74
04-24 19:09Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?BUY0.2467589994$100.00
04-24 19:04Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?BUY0.3450913611$100.00
04-24 18:59Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?BUY0.4664303035$100.18
04-24 18:58Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY0.1899999993$206.02