PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x12406DcCf3bd2901Ff09B01Aa3717AFF60541468-1771591252042

0x12406dccf3bd2901ff09b01aa3717aff60541468

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$49.3k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$240.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1210.026$240.69$859.30
Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$100.00
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$500.00
Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$100.00
Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$199.92
Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$450.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-27 11:11Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1211107952$1.1k
02-27 11:10Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0257920098$500.00
02-27 11:02Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.0506718351$100.00
02-27 11:00Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.0355254998$100.00
02-27 10:59Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.0421523294$450.00
02-27 08:55Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.0371328458$199.93
02-21 21:15Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.1799998704$1.00