UpTight
0xc19d235d2209850967586464df4545d7abd3865e
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $2.23M
- Markets traded
- 397
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded397
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.244Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$4.4kat 0.371Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
- +$3.3kat 0.712Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
- +$2.0kat 0.950Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$1.8kat 0.201Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 18:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | SELL | 0.0123652882 | $2.76 |
| 08-03 18:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.0244845992 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 18:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 18:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | SELL | 0.33 | $6.88 |
| 08-03 18:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 18:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $7.50 |
| 08-03 18:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 18:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.13 | $52.00 |
| 07-31 16:20 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.39 | $10.53 |
| 07-31 13:22 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.3795438216 | $66.56 |
| 07-31 12:26 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.389071 | $116.72 |
| 07-31 09:50 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31? | SELL | 0.1008675079 | $1.28 |
| 07-30 15:33 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.659077281 | $51.00 |
| 06-15 20:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.55 | $239.25 |
| 06-15 15:00 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9387932996 | $1.5k |