PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

UpTight

0xc19d235d2209850967586464df4545d7abd3865e

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$2.23M
Markets traded
397
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded397
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1980.120$762.03$495.66
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · No0.4150.485$487.61+$70.74
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2240.065$299.16$730.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · No0.1090.110$174.21+$2.00
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0620.045$157.50$59.49
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0490.130$143.00+$89.00
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1530.000$0.00$275.40
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.1510.000$0.00$633.29
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$36.61
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$4.60
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? · No0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes0.2070.000$0.00$331.99
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31? · Yes0.1880.000$0.00$83.29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes0.1860.000$0.00$2.2k
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? · Yes0.3180.000$0.00$702.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 18:44Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSELL0.0123652882$2.76
08-03 18:44Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.0244845992$5.00
08-03 18:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.2599999646$5.00
08-03 18:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSELL0.33$6.88
08-03 18:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.2399999674$5.00
08-03 18:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSELL0.42$7.50
08-03 18:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.2799999731$5.00
08-03 18:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.13$52.00
07-31 16:20Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?BUY0.39$10.53
07-31 13:22Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?BUY0.3795438216$66.56
07-31 12:26Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?BUY0.389071$116.72
07-31 09:50Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?SELL0.1008675079$1.28
07-30 15:33Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?BUY0.659077281$51.00
06-15 20:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.55$239.25
06-15 15:00US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.9387932996$1.5k