PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

stygimoloch

0x07242d7f26327c17f13ba2a764792d5b36c13238

Realised P&L
$-876.18
Volume
$34.0k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$118.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US military draft authorized in 2026? · Yes0.0560.035$67.82$42.18
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0960.028$42.78$107.22
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1200.015$5.38$37.67
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1590.038$2.42$7.58
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00$10.00
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$10.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1240.000$0.00$10.00
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? · No0.3390.000$0.00$10.00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$10.00
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$10.00
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026? · No0.3380.000$0.00$25.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$25.00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 08:48Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.12$43.05
07-21 03:54US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.054679251$100.00
06-29 10:17Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.1$10.00
06-29 10:16Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.25$10.00
06-29 10:16Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
06-29 10:15Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1$10.00
06-29 10:15Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.179999987$10.00
06-23 10:47US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.0729999934$10.00
06-23 10:46Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0479999955$10.00
06-23 10:45Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0209999979$10.00
06-23 10:45Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1979999861$10.00
06-23 10:44Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1239999896$10.00
04-21 13:39Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?BUY0.0162060854$42.37
04-08 03:16Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?BUY0.0699999998$375.78
04-01 07:33Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?BUY0.1102333236$25.00