stygimoloch
0x07242d7f26327c17f13ba2a764792d5b36c13238
- Realised P&L
- $-876.18
- Volume
- $34.0k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $118.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.52at 0.404Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
- +$34.70at 0.260Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$17.37at 0.590US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$15.21at 0.267Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$-10.00at 0.200Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 08:48 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.12 | $43.05 |
| 07-21 03:54 | US military draft authorized in 2026? | BUY | 0.054679251 | $100.00 |
| 06-29 10:17 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 10:16 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 10:16 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 10:15 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 10:15 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 10:47 | US military draft authorized in 2026? | BUY | 0.0729999934 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 10:46 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0479999955 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 10:45 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0209999979 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 10:45 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1979999861 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 10:44 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1239999896 | $10.00 |
| 04-21 13:39 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | BUY | 0.0162060854 | $42.37 |
| 04-08 03:16 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $375.78 |
| 04-01 07:33 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | BUY | 0.1102333236 | $25.00 |