Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.13. Range 0.10 to 0.13. 155 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	5,132	5,132
0.11	9,240	14,372
0.12	3,441	17,813
0.13	3,203	21,016
0.14	1,188	22,204
0.15	929	23,133
0.16	775	23,909
0.17	1,893	25,802
0.18	1,788	27,590
0.19	805	28,395
0.20	1,375	29,770
0.21	1,760	31,530

Spread0.01Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	9,303	9,303
0.08	13,609	22,913
0.07	11,551	34,464
0.06	11,254	45,718
0.05	15,042	60,760
0.04	10,282	71,042
0.03	24,073	95,115
0.02	69,904	165,019
0.01	63,121	228,140

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	9,303	9,303
0.92	13,609	22,913
0.93	11,551	34,464
0.94	11,254	45,718
0.95	15,042	60,760
0.96	10,282	71,042
0.97	24,073	95,115
0.98	69,904	165,019
0.99	63,121	228,140

Spread0.01Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	5,132	5,132
0.89	9,240	14,372
0.88	3,441	17,813
0.87	3,203	21,016
0.86	1,188	22,204
0.85	929	23,133
0.84	775	23,909
0.83	1,893	25,802
0.82	1,788	27,590
0.81	805	28,395
0.80	1,375	29,770
0.79	1,760	31,530

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794	Yes	52,654.85
eeelliot	Yes	49,000.02
aenews2	Yes	28,947.1
0x212811d8f025d0C927D52c540b5E8f01F73560eE-1771315524247	Yes	18,353.78
wan123	Yes	14,276.77
0x3140c81075aa367aaaC40F97Cfc0EE9fED74b176-1764718464081	Yes	11,191.79
AlexCimmeria	Yes	10,126.01
vk7	Yes	9,999.95
0xB2ef99AECb61EB4E2aCD712DF9388a3eA03627dd-1771506956297	Yes	9,025.53
KnureKnume	Yes	9,000.49
fedparodi	Yes	8,811.76
tiger555	Yes	7,067.08
0x32629f699EC7340781823E91399783d89A352D1d-1760749572026	Yes	6,956.3
LinaBell	Yes	5,782.42
PepsiWarrior	Yes	4,201.08
davtas	Yes	4,166.67
troim	Yes	4,000
Blase3	Yes	3,632.58
0x57c8b3BDb61EAB3f6adfc0551224a75Ce6632ec4-1776303995660	Yes	3,561.62
tiger5510	Yes	3,155.76

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:46:53	BUY	No	0.9099999607	2	$1.39
06:46:50	SELL	No	0.9	3	$2.78
06:15:53	BUY	No	0.91	10	$9.10
06:06:20	BUY	No	0.9099999877	3	$2.96
06:06:15	SELL	No	0.9	7	$5.93
00:41:05	SELL	No	0.9	13	$11.36
21:02:32	SELL	Yes	0.09	208	$18.69
18:38:44	SELL	No	0.9	1	$0.99
17:57:24	BUY	No	0.91	1	$1.00
17:57:23	SELL	No	0.9	2	$1.97
17:51:09	SELL	Yes	0.09	52	$4.70
16:13:44	SELL	Yes	0.09	9	$0.78
15:18:27	BUY	No	0.91	1	$1.00
15:18:26	BUY	No	0.91	1	$1.00
15:18:24	SELL	No	0.9	3	$2.43
11:00:05	SELL	No	0.9	21	$19.33
08:40:23	SELL	Yes	0.09	182	$16.36
06:13:11	BUY	No	0.91	110	$100.00
06:05:50	BUY	No	0.9099999994	33	$30.00
04:19:23	BUY	No	0.91	1	$1.00
04:19:21	BUY	Yes	0.1	10	$1.00
18:57:50	BUY	No	0.91	5	$5.00
17:38:23	BUY	No	0.91	2	$2.00
17:38:21	BUY	No	0.91	2	$2.00
17:38:21	SELL	No	0.9	3	$2.30