PolyBot

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Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.04. Unchanged over the period, from 0.04. Range 0.04 to 0.07. 148 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0510,40410,404
0.0614,87625,280
0.0714,04639,326
0.082,65241,978
0.0990042,878
0.1040043,278
0.1179544,073
0.1210044,173
0.1350544,678
0.151144,689
0.1611044,799
0.1711144,910

Spread0.01Mid0.04

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.043,2073,207
0.0311,55414,761
0.0281,44296,203
0.0125,270121,473

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.963,2073,207
0.9711,55414,761
0.9881,44296,203
0.9925,270121,473

Spread0.01Mid0.95

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9510,40410,404
0.9414,87625,280
0.9314,04639,326
0.922,65241,978
0.9190042,878
0.9040043,278
0.8979544,073
0.8810044,173
0.8750544,678
0.851144,689
0.8411044,799
0.8311144,910

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
FerwhereYes92,036.56
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794Yes57,746.59
aenews2Yes28,947.1
eeelliotYes20,999.99
0x212811d8f025d0C927D52c540b5E8f01F73560eE-1771315524247Yes18,353.78
wan123Yes14,276.77
AlexCimmeriaYes10,126.01
vk7Yes9,999.95
0xB2ef99AECb61EB4E2aCD712DF9388a3eA03627dd-1771506956297Yes9,025.53
fedparodiYes8,811.76
0x32629f699EC7340781823E91399783d89A352D1d-1760749572026Yes6,956.3
LinaBellYes5,782.42
davtasYes4,166.67
troimYes4,000
Blase3Yes3,632.58
t1nkov1chYes3,125.04
0xF692AB87B3539c5Ea57110B7FECc8419FB3fDD55-1773661167840Yes3,092.86
Sebasushi1Yes2,582.87
S0R0SYes2,200
ImaBotWatYes2,090

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:41:45SELLNo0.951$1.01
15:41:45BUYNo0.964,000$3840.00
13:27:51SELLNo0.951$1.24
10:48:25BUYNo0.95229$217.80
06:49:22SELLNo0.9488$82.25
05:30:36BUYNo0.951$1.20
04:06:36SELLNo0.9413$12.09
21:59:34SELLYes0.0587$4.35
21:04:24SELLNo0.94313$294.22
16:20:42BUYNo0.94999992385$4.99
16:20:42SELLNo0.9491$85.28
08:31:58BUYYes0.0663$3.78
08:06:00BUYYes0.0685$5.10
06:11:27BUYYes0.0664$3.81
06:01:46SELLNo0.9414$13.05
23:38:52BUYNo0.94999998111$10.00
18:44:25SELLYes0.0520$1.00
15:40:12SELLYes0.0513$0.67
15:13:31BUYNo0.95158$150.56
19:47:42BUYNo0.951,000$950.00
17:47:14SELLNo0.941,456$1368.68
11:04:49SELLYes0.05253$12.67
05:10:13BUYNo0.9523$21.73
21:01:56SELLNo0.940$0.30
17:35:53BUYYes0.06170$10.20