0xB2ef99AECb61EB4E2aCD712DF9388a3eA03627dd-1771506956297
0xb2ef99aecb61eb4e2acd712df9388a3ea03627dd
- Realised P&L
- $860.67
- Volume
- $17.7k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $586.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.065 | $586.66 | −$1.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.229Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-11 14:50 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.2215238435 | $2.0k |
| 02-28 14:46 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $3.3k |
| 02-19 13:36 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2288035271 | $998.00 |