PolyBot

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Traders

eeelliot

0x4159d9b66e877c56399de1495eb8d79368cfa9a0

Realised P&L
$-4.2k
Volume
$242.1k
Markets traded
221
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded221
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1500.065$3.3k$4.4k
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9280.960$95.95+$3.15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1500.165$33.00+$3.00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0710.028$5.50$8.70
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00$10.70
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$23.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.2000.000$0.00$2.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · Yes0.4770.000$0.00$238.43
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.90
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$23.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.20
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6170.000$0.00$6.17
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner · Top Esports0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$3.30
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 20:54Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$1.00
07-14 20:54France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSELL0.0025$0.03
07-14 16:25Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.389$388.99
07-13 09:38Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.207$43.47
07-12 02:59Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?SELL0.065$0.65
07-09 03:38Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.999$49.95
07-03 01:08Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.9775$9.78
07-01 03:34Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.95$9.50
06-30 03:52Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.81$8.14
06-27 05:00Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?SELL0.11$1.10
06-26 00:38Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.997$99.70
06-25 02:28Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.09$8.10
06-23 04:45Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.8299999967$10.00
06-22 11:14Labour leadership election scheduled by December 31, 2026?BUY0.986$5.23
06-21 16:18Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.972$97.20