eeelliot
0x4159d9b66e877c56399de1495eb8d79368cfa9a0
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $242.1k
- Markets traded
- 221
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded221
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$856.78at 0.857Cavaliers vs. Knicks
- +$606.60at 0.932Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$356.19at 0.915Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$232.25at 0.217Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$138.82at 0.575Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 20:54 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 20:54 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.0025 | $0.03 |
| 07-14 16:25 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.389 | $388.99 |
| 07-13 09:38 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.207 | $43.47 |
| 07-12 02:59 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.065 | $0.65 |
| 07-09 03:38 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 07-03 01:08 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.9775 | $9.78 |
| 07-01 03:34 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 06-30 03:52 | Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.81 | $8.14 |
| 06-27 05:00 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 06-26 00:38 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 06-25 02:28 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.09 | $8.10 |
| 06-23 04:45 | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 11:14 | Labour leadership election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $5.23 |
| 06-21 16:18 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.972 | $97.20 |