PolyBot

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Traders

t1nkov1ch

0x11eae0fa28085b677018782a403f4a87e378d47e

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$86.9k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$253.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1130.065$203.13$148.86
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.042$19.15$40.85
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0550.097$17.55+$7.55
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0280.018$7.47$4.53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1100.038$3.85$7.15
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1600.029$1.78$8.22
Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0670.015$0.23$0.77
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.003$0.21$0.79
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$11.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? · Yes0.2780.000$0.00$1.2k
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
US forces enter Iran by March 7? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$13.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET · Up0.4890.000$0.00$56.06
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during College Football Roundtable? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Down0.5690.000$0.00$7.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-29 17:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?BUY0.09$49.23
04-13 17:47Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.2299999968$50.00
04-07 18:14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?BUY0.0376542043$50.77
04-07 18:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?BUY0.064$64.76
04-07 18:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.7799999984$10.00
04-07 18:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?BUY0.1188101114$10.22
04-07 18:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?BUY0.0369999995$64.61
04-07 18:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?BUY0.0369999988$27.69
04-07 18:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?BUY0.064$46.26
04-07 17:57Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?BUY0.0369999973$12.01
03-11 00:05Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETBUY0.4197372238$23.29
03-10 23:35Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?BUY0.0670000006$1.00
03-10 23:14Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.2$7.00
03-10 23:05Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?BUY0.031$33.00
03-10 23:05Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?BUY0.0467390531$33.00