PolyBot

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Traders

vk7

0x74db2780445d9b7b10e8a650db1b94f8e53c4ca5

Realised P&L
$-101.6k
Volume
$1.28M
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$18.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5700.735$4.4k+$990.00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4780.315$3.9k$2.0k
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1340.038$3.2k$7.8k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1710.030$2.7k$12.2k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3580.065$863.26$3.9k
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3200.075$750.00$2.4k
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.2140.050$700.00$2.3k
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2100.065$650.00$1.4k
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.4220.105$315.00$952.12
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0440.019$223.43$276.57
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.0530.012$192.00$653.17
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1100.026$114.50$360.80
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1080.025$37.67$125.67
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00$3.2k
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? · Yes0.2140.000$0.00$7.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 18:55Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4976591556$2.2k
07-27 10:50Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.49$837.50
07-26 19:09Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.57$3.4k
07-26 19:06Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4591691536$961.61
07-26 19:05Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1$3.54
07-26 19:05Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1059171598$53.70
03-08 21:52Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?BUY0.0670262709$2.7k
03-08 21:40Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?BUY0.23098256$3.5k
03-08 21:39Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?BUY0.1070215353$5.6k
03-08 21:18Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.997$16.9k
03-07 20:22Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?BUY0.35$20.96
03-07 20:16Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?BUY0.56$21.92
03-07 20:15Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.21$233.73
03-07 20:11Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.505642065$1.0k
03-07 20:10Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.112$133.60