davtas
0xeb5c9461c098d2f91d3241796b7e597cd359903d
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $140.2k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.239Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-16?
- +$1.2kat 0.450Elon out of Trump administration before July?
- +$1.1kat 0.310Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April?
- +$979.31at 0.290Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?
- +$831.44at 0.265US military action against Iran before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 13:22 | Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | BUY | 0.1674720094 | $200.00 |
| 05-28 13:20 | Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | BUY | 0.3290944135 | $200.00 |
| 05-05 12:37 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.2 | $250.00 |
| 05-05 12:37 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.2 | $260.87 |
| 01-27 07:26 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.2199999987 | $107.70 |
| 01-16 09:06 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | SELL | 0.2006045867 | $105.58 |
| 01-09 16:33 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BUY | 0.2599999989 | $132.00 |
| 01-09 10:31 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | SELL | 0.2454596074 | $102.27 |
| 01-07 14:22 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.28 | $350.00 |
| 01-07 12:03 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $1000.00 |
| 01-05 12:16 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31? | BUY | 0.1066612147 | $100.00 |
| 01-05 12:10 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 01-05 12:05 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999998 | $500.00 |
| 01-05 11:26 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.2874103364 | $300.00 |
| 01-05 11:25 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |