PolyBot

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Traders

davtas

0xeb5c9461c098d2f91d3241796b7e597cd359903d

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$140.2k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0390.105$535.91+$335.92
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0900.131$290.00+$90.00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1200.065$270.83$229.16
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1400.029$203.57$796.42
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1800.065$179.17$320.83
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0470.018$74.75$125.25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2870.065$70.17$239.83
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$132.00
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.2200.000$0.00$107.70
Will Joey Chestnut win the 2025 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest? · No0.1310.000$0.00$100.00
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2170.000$0.00$200.00
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga? · No0.1170.000$0.00$200.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? · Yes0.2610.000$0.00$400.00
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$200.00
Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-28 13:22Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel CerundoloBUY0.1674720094$200.00
05-28 13:20Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel CerundoloBUY0.3290944135$200.00
05-05 12:37Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.2$250.00
05-05 12:37Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.2$260.87
01-27 07:26US government shutdown Saturday?BUY0.2199999987$107.70
01-16 09:06Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?SELL0.2006045867$105.58
01-09 16:33Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.2599999989$132.00
01-09 10:31Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?SELL0.2454596074$102.27
01-07 14:22Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.28$350.00
01-07 12:03Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.1399999999$1000.00
01-05 12:16Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?BUY0.1066612147$100.00
01-05 12:10Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?BUY0.1899999986$100.00
01-05 12:05China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.1799999998$500.00
01-05 11:26Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.2874103364$300.00
01-05 11:25Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.2799999854$10.00