PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Blase3

0xaf9ad7c113df7502932408cd7ebaa0ed42baf393

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$25.6k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$486.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3770.135$250.46$449.54
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2590.065$236.12$703.22
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.3790.000$0.00$441.97
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00$200.00
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$499.99
Bulls vs. Pistons · Bulls0.2300.000$0.00$2.00
Spread: Miami (-3.5) · Ole Miss0.5200.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-28 02:30Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.2299999958$39.34
05-02 12:15Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.2599999998$900.00
05-02 12:14US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.3773049644$700.00
04-02 02:02US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3787915555$441.97
03-15 20:37Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.0551306873$500.00
03-14 19:55Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?BUY0.075175994$200.00
03-05 20:46US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.6099999999$1000.00
03-01 13:39Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.998$492.01
02-28 14:36Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.3862170385$190.40
02-28 13:36Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.8$500.00
02-28 13:34Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.7791566328$500.00
02-25 00:51Will Trump say "Gold Card" or "Trump card" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.4686969054$800.00
02-22 15:35US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.1799999982$73.00
02-21 18:10US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?BUY0.0441006718$50.00
01-07 18:39Spread: Miami (-3.5)BUY0.5199999938$20.00