PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x212811d8f025d0C927D52c540b5E8f01F73560eE-1771315524247

0x212811d8f025d0c927d52c540b5e8f01f73560ee

Realised P&L
$-22.2k
Volume
$707.3k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$4.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration70.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2690.162$3.0k$2.0k
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2720.065$1.2k$3.8k
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1720.000$0.00$24.2k
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$11.8k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$10.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-18 22:16Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.2501004081$10.0k
03-18 22:15Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.1993649032$1.0k
03-18 22:15Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.1785070688$1000.00
03-18 22:14Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.16$100.00
03-18 22:14Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.2277129599$1000.00
03-18 22:13Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.2186651919$4.0k
03-18 22:13Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.1823722619$1000.00
03-18 22:13Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.1499999989$100.00
03-18 22:13Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.1593001413$1000.00
03-18 22:13Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.1596327648$10.0k
03-18 22:12Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.1590227922$5.0k
03-18 22:12Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.2692183772$5.0k
03-18 22:11Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.2724234834$5.0k
03-18 22:10Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.033$1000.00
03-18 22:10Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.033$1000.00