0x212811d8f025d0C927D52c540b5E8f01F73560eE-1771315524247
0x212811d8f025d0c927d52c540b5e8f01f73560ee
- Realised P&L
- $-22.2k
- Volume
- $707.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.162 | $3.0k | −$2.0k |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes | 0.272 | 0.065 | $1.2k | −$3.8k |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.2k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.8k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.9kat 0.472Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
- +$8.7kat 0.489Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-18 22:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.2501004081 | $10.0k |
| 03-18 22:15 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1993649032 | $1.0k |
| 03-18 22:15 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1785070688 | $1000.00 |
| 03-18 22:14 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |
| 03-18 22:14 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.2277129599 | $1000.00 |
| 03-18 22:13 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.2186651919 | $4.0k |
| 03-18 22:13 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1823722619 | $1000.00 |
| 03-18 22:13 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1499999989 | $100.00 |
| 03-18 22:13 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1593001413 | $1000.00 |
| 03-18 22:13 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1596327648 | $10.0k |
| 03-18 22:12 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1590227922 | $5.0k |
| 03-18 22:12 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2692183772 | $5.0k |
| 03-18 22:11 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.2724234834 | $5.0k |
| 03-18 22:10 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.033 | $1000.00 |
| 03-18 22:10 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.033 | $1000.00 |