PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fedparodi

0xf23d6935eed2a8e52899342c1195f19471efb77a

Realised P&L
$-14.5k
Volume
$346.0k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.085$510.00−$1.4k
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1100.045$396.53−$572.76
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0800.021$265.35−$771.64
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0330.035$85.97+$5.18
Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0340.018$43.56−$39.58
Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0470.020$38.70−$51.51
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0390.013$31.29−$58.56
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0340.011$20.34−$45.09
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1800.075$18.96−$26.55
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0200.006$13.87−$32.87
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · Yes0.0800.033$8.04−$11.45
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00−$878.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$550.00
Will Trump jail Fauci? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$240.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 10:35Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.04$40.00
09-01 09:30Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0319425646$7.17
09-01 06:37Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0469271096$66.31
09-01 06:37Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.045$2.35
09-01 06:36Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.045$2.35
08-31 20:24Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0338744987$33.87
08-31 16:44Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.055$23.33
08-31 16:39Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.038$4.01
08-31 15:42Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0359733571$35.97
08-31 15:41Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.046$19.20
08-31 15:39Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.04$35.73
08-31 15:14Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0358814449$38.61
08-31 15:13Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0331910874$5.92
08-31 15:10Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0317636442$19.85
08-31 15:10Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.027998254$15.55