wan123
0xde7be6d489bce070a959e0cb813128ae659b5f4b
- Realised P&L
- $1.16M
- Volume
- $61.38M
- Markets traded
- 592
- Open portfolio
- $1.49M
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded592
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.20Mat 0.239US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$330.9kat 0.113Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$279.2kat 0.087Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$219.5kat 0.859Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$201.2kat 0.108US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:11 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.14 | $4.6k |
| 11-01 18:03 | Cardinals vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.25 | $10.0k |
| 11-01 04:02 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $957.13 |
| 10-31 23:47 | Raiders vs. Jets | BUY | 0.54 | $27.0k |
| 10-31 23:46 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.0k |
| 10-31 23:46 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.0k |
| 10-31 23:46 | Eagles vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.3 | $21.3k |
| 10-31 23:46 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.980040051 | $9.8k |
| 10-31 23:46 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.9815187 | $9.8k |
| 10-31 23:45 | Spread: Lions (-3.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $24.0k |
| 10-31 23:45 | Falcons vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.56 | $28.0k |
| 10-31 23:45 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.53 | $25.8k |
| 10-31 23:45 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.53 | $735.49 |
| 10-31 23:44 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.7 | $23.3k |
| 10-31 23:33 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.12 | $644.85 |