wan123
0xde7be6d489bce070a959e0cb813128ae659b5f4b
- Realised P&L
- $1.21M
- Volume
- $50.11M
- Markets traded
- 422
- Open portfolio
- $443.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded422
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.20Mat 0.239US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$330.9kat 0.113Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$279.2kat 0.087Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$219.5kat 0.859Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$201.2kat 0.108US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 01:50 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $11.0k |
| 07-29 18:30 | Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 07-29 18:30 | Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.8872606844 | $527.11 |
| 07-29 17:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1894880071 | $3.3k |
| 07-29 17:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1878403479 | $96.76 |
| 07-29 17:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.209937538 | $21.0k |
| 07-29 17:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.756 | $6.6k |
| 07-29 17:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.749 | $7.7k |
| 07-29 17:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.752 | $661.11 |
| 07-29 17:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7519975944 | $6.6k |
| 07-29 17:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7487610775 | $36.3k |
| 07-29 17:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.747675712 | $4.4k |
| 07-29 17:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.745 | $6.2k |
| 07-29 17:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.255 | $2.0k |
| 07-29 16:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7387879992 | $20.0k |