0x32629f699EC7340781823E91399783d89A352D1d-1760749572026
0x32629f699ec7340781823e91399783d89a352d1d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $14.4k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.135 | $525.15 | −$213.95 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.065 | $452.16 | −$1.2k |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.160 | $65.59 | −$110.69 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? · Yes | 0.138 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.20 |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.29 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 14:20 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $833.33 |
| 05-28 14:17 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.43 |
| 05-26 13:23 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $230.00 |
| 05-12 05:06 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $32.81 |
| 05-12 05:05 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $6.45 |
| 05-12 05:04 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $16.20 |
| 05-12 05:03 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $397.10 |
| 05-12 05:01 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $219.95 |
| 01-29 13:35 | US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.92 |
| 01-29 13:33 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $897.90 |