PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

S0R0S

0xa03ab36e37f6bd8b778ef728289b3286346fa243

Realised P&L
$3.8k
Volume
$114.0k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$99.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration84.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2650.045$99.00−$483.00
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$230.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 01:31Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?SELL0.0589401905$144.31
07-02 00:47Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.027$27.00
07-02 00:46Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.03$30.00
07-02 00:41Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.09$135.00
04-09 06:57Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.17$2.99
04-09 06:55Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.2799999854$8.96
04-09 06:54Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETBUY0.1477585035$8.77
04-09 06:50Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.21$42.00
03-14 13:22US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.45$270.00
03-13 13:41DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?BUY0.014$1.77
03-13 04:27Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.37155475$297.24
03-08 12:05US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.41$28.70
03-08 07:50Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 3?BUY0.001$10.00
03-08 07:46Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?SELL0.99388925$39.76
03-08 04:50Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.79$20.45