S0R0S
0xa03ab36e37f6bd8b778ef728289b3286346fa243
- Realised P&L
- $3.8k
- Volume
- $114.0k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $99.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes | 0.265 | 0.045 | $99.00 | −$483.00 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$230.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.055Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$522.00at 0.080Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$268.00at 0.270Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$62.76at 0.400Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?
- +$29.24at 0.335Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 01:31 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.0589401905 | $144.31 |
| 07-02 00:47 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.027 | $27.00 |
| 07-02 00:46 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.03 | $30.00 |
| 07-02 00:41 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.09 | $135.00 |
| 04-09 06:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.17 | $2.99 |
| 04-09 06:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $8.96 |
| 04-09 06:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.1477585035 | $8.77 |
| 04-09 06:50 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $42.00 |
| 03-14 13:22 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.45 | $270.00 |
| 03-13 13:41 | DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.77 |
| 03-13 04:27 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | SELL | 0.37155475 | $297.24 |
| 03-08 12:05 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $28.70 |
| 03-08 07:50 | Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 3? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 03-08 07:46 | Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8? | SELL | 0.99388925 | $39.76 |
| 03-08 04:50 | Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.79 | $20.45 |