Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.151. down 0.083 over the period, from 0.234. Range 0.120 to 0.507. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.171	50	50
0.178	320	370
0.180	51	421
0.181	100	521
0.182	104	625
0.192	92	717
0.196	58	776
0.202	52	828
0.205	52	880
0.231	211	1,091
0.311	20	1,111
0.377	12	1,123

Spread0.029Mid0.157

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.142	60	60
0.141	50	110
0.130	51	161
0.121	56	217
0.116	55	272
0.104	150	422
0.101	139	561
0.100	51	612
0.017	30	642
0.016	44	687
0.015	40	727
0.010	30	757

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.858	60	60
0.859	50	110
0.870	51	161
0.879	56	217
0.884	55	272
0.896	150	422
0.899	139	561
0.900	51	612
0.983	30	642
0.984	44	687
0.985	40	727
0.990	30	757

Spread0.029Mid0.843

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.829	50	50
0.822	320	370
0.820	51	421
0.819	100	521
0.818	104	625
0.808	92	717
0.804	58	776
0.798	52	828
0.795	52	880
0.769	211	1,091
0.689	20	1,111
0.623	12	1,123

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
cigarettes	Yes	658.12
ACara	Yes	568.26
zk1984	Yes	500
Contentious-Dinnerdate	Yes	405.99
0xa169…1b73	Yes	213.62
just-bettor	Yes	205.32
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	167.14
KimchiCapital	Yes	166.13
BAO95889	Yes	150.49
hithitfar	Yes	142.53
SuperTests	Yes	106
title1	Yes	93.12
0xBD65DEE01698d6E2CEc14Bcc3f7cac50824d304f-1772365350231	Yes	90.04
monkey-brains	Yes	88.99
LovelyPanda	Yes	58.3
scotsban	Yes	50
0x489A6942253203fD0c5e786c230419a02840FfF2-1782011056329	Yes	30.87
myfrenda	Yes	30
cit500	Yes	30
0x4629…f3b1	Yes	30

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:55:25	BUY	Yes	0.129	1	$0.07
20:55:25	BUY	Yes	0.128999991	9	$1.22
20:41:18	BUY	Yes	0.129	50	$6.45
20:02:49	BUY	Yes	0.123	20	$2.46
20:02:37	BUY	Yes	0.123	20	$2.46
18:35:51	SELL	Yes	0.119	20	$2.38
18:35:49	SELL	Yes	0.129	20	$2.58
15:26:22	SELL	Yes	0.12	50	$6.00
15:24:45	BUY	No	0.876664	50	$43.83
15:24:45	SELL	Yes	0.124	108	$13.43
15:24:45	BUY	No	0.873	30	$26.19
14:34:12	BUY	Yes	0.2309999716	6	$1.44
14:34:12	BUY	No	0.7650600874	602	$460.41
14:34:12	BUY	Yes	0.2309999999	95	$21.94
14:34:12	BUY	No	0.8589999983	31	$26.52
14:34:12	BUY	Yes	0.231	30	$6.93
07:38:16	BUY	No	0.739	20	$14.78
07:38:16	BUY	No	0.716	20	$14.32
07:38:16	BUY	No	0.73	20	$14.60
07:38:16	BUY	No	0.715	20	$14.30
07:38:15	BUY	No	0.715	30	$21.45
07:38:15	BUY	No	0.715	50	$35.75
00:44:27	BUY	Yes	0.3629999698	9	$3.26
23:53:06	BUY	Yes	0.317	25	$7.92
16:38:13	BUY	No	0.563	25	$14.07