PolyBot

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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Resolves by
https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.91. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.88. Range 0.74 to 0.93. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.921515
0.947287
0.95136223
0.9679302
0.99255557

Spread0.02Mid0.91

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9066
0.89130136
0.8894230
0.7110240
0.7011251
0.69340591
0.2610601
0.0312613
0.0155668

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1066
0.11130136
0.1294230
0.2910240
0.3011251
0.31340591
0.7410601
0.9712613
0.9955668

Spread0.02Mid0.09

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.081515
0.067287
0.05136223
0.0479302
0.01255557

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
KimchiCapitalYes502
zk1984Yes500
Stupendous-InnerstateYes405.99
lamykYes217.54
SuperTestsYes106
title1Yes93.12
balabalababalabalaYes24.89
big-bird1Yes10.16
Maximus374Yes10.02
plytest2Yes5.66
0x9953…51f6Yes5
6sFjgt22jX8tMEYes2.36
iutwpfalYes1
InterestingUserNo610
Dr.PNLNo476.99
LornaPredictsNo217.25
0x9032…267bNo169
pootytherewardfarmerNo116.01
AJSVNo86.59
GuyFromTinderNo51

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:56:37SELLNo0.075$0.38
21:43:07SELLYes0.950$45.00
21:25:48SELLYes0.883$2.28
21:25:45SELLYes0.9049382716162$146.60
21:25:45BUYNo0.1212$1.44
20:44:07SELLNo0.0620$1.20
20:26:49BUYYes0.8475682382403$341.57
16:41:51SELLYes0.728$5.88
16:37:03SELLYes0.7338$27.86
16:36:33SELLYes0.732$1.34
16:36:31SELLYes0.8659704348115$99.59
15:43:48BUYYes0.8399$82.17
14:11:40BUYYes0.79904640553$2.43
14:11:37BUYYes0.7972$56.88
13:07:09BUYYes0.7720$15.40
14:42:16SELLNo0.1612$1.97
12:06:49SELLNo0.160$0.04
05:47:09SELLYes0.814410480314$11.19
05:47:09SELLYes0.821$0.67
05:47:07BUYNo0.179999992421$3.80
05:47:06SELLYes0.83122$101.26
02:41:58BUYYes0.81123$99.63
02:41:58BUYYes0.810120480720$16.40
02:32:43SELLNo0.21$0.28
01:37:09BUYYes0.8320$16.60