just-bettor
0xa742e816268a5536c8ddcd65733f8669887e9856
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $69.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,173
- Open portfolio
- $5.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,173
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$937.18at 0.063Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- +$759.90at 0.063Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- +$435.95at 0.094Dana White's Contender Series: Brandon Holmes vs. Modestino Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$183.09at 0.341Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?
- +$74.88at 0.220Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 20:38 | Will Justin Herbert have 3,349.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 10-14 19:55 | Will Josh Allen have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.66 | $13.19 |
| 10-14 19:21 | Will Bijan Robinson have 1,374.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 10-14 19:11 | Will Joe Burrow have 4,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.51 | $7.48 |
| 10-14 18:57 | Will Omarion Hampton have 949.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 10-14 18:56 | Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $6.16 |
| 10-14 18:44 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | SELL | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 18:44 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $21.00 |
| 10-14 18:38 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 10-14 18:38 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 10-14 18:34 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027? | SELL | 0.52 | $4.68 |
| 10-14 18:34 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027? | SELL | 0.65 | $5.85 |
| 10-14 18:32 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $12.45 |
| 10-14 18:32 | Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | SELL | 0.62 | $9.30 |
| 10-14 18:21 | Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | SELL | 0.63 | $6.30 |