myfrenda
0x03601ed5e489e09db1c5cb27ed0d531ddb7e0469
- Realised P&L
- $99.31
- Volume
- $41.4k
- Markets traded
- 231
- Open portfolio
- $9.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded231
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$381.08at 0.250Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$318.73at 0.305Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$171.80at 0.129Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026?
- +$85.63at 0.726NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
- +$54.40at 0.160Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:46 | Will Lamar Jackson have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.9512903226 | $29.49 |
| 11-01 22:46 | Will Lamar Jackson have 3,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.24 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.40 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | BUY | 0.8 | $161.60 |
| 11-01 18:01 | Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? | BUY | 0.92 | $27.60 |
| 11-01 18:01 | Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? | BUY | 0.046 | $1.38 |
| 11-01 17:56 | Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? | BUY | 0.9180043359 | $23.00 |
| 11-01 17:56 | Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? | BUY | 0.046 | $1.15 |
| 11-01 17:04 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.1259999885 | $1.27 |
| 11-01 17:04 | Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 11-01 17:04 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.127 | $1.27 |
| 11-01 17:04 | Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 11-01 16:31 | Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 11-01 16:31 | Israel military action against Syria by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 11-01 15:09 | Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.842 | $16.84 |