PolyBot

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Traders

zk1984

0x00497937c03436c8b1c033123d282688c7976034

Realised P&L
$6.6k
Volume
$278.8k
Markets traded
660
Open portfolio
$48.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded660
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8160.961$8.2k+$1.2k
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8640.971$5.9k+$656.06
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.8210.969$3.0k+$458.35
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9290.961$2.8k+$94.15
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.985$2.5k+$216.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8980.980$2.2k+$181.05
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.969$1.9k+$37.00
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8350.984$1.7k+$252.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7890.959$1.4k+$255.00
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.990$989.50+$129.50
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No0.8800.988$988.00+$108.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.983$982.50+$32.50
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9510.981$980.50+$29.50
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9190.980$979.50+$59.90
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9110.980$979.50+$67.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:28Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$465.00
11-01 18:25Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.8$400.00
10-31 12:24Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.95$475.00
10-31 12:22Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?BUY0.962$60.61
10-31 12:12Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$4.65
10-04 13:14Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.011$4.84
10-02 00:07Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$1.9k
10-01 23:42Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$181.57
09-18 00:30Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.94$282.00
09-18 00:13Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$475.00
09-08 23:28Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?BUY0.9$360.00
09-08 23:12Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$546.00
09-02 01:00Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$470.00
09-02 00:53Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.91$455.00
08-18 22:04Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?BUY0.941$188.20