PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

zk1984

0x00497937c03436c8b1c033123d282688c7976034

Realised P&L
$9.1k
Volume
$275.2k
Markets traded
643
Open portfolio
$48.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded643
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8160.945$8.1k+$1.1k
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8640.962$5.9k+$601.07
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.8210.941$2.9k+$371.55
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.970$2.5k+$179.69
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9240.940$2.3k+$38.35
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8980.966$2.1k+$151.04
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8350.976$1.7k+$239.35
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7890.925$1.4k+$204.00
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.8630.990$1.2k+$152.33
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9190.986$986.00+$66.40
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.983$983.00+$33.00
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No0.8800.982$981.50+$101.50
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.980$979.50+$119.50
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9110.974$973.50+$61.90
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? · No0.9280.971$970.99+$42.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 23:28Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?BUY0.9$360.00
09-08 23:12Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$546.00
09-02 01:00Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$470.00
09-02 00:53Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.91$455.00
08-18 22:04Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?BUY0.941$188.20
08-15 12:33Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?BUY0.925$22.44
08-13 15:38Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.23$46.00
08-11 11:19Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?SELL0.01$2.00
08-10 23:28Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?BUY0.9$45.00
08-10 23:26Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?BUY0.9$90.00
08-10 02:11Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?BUY0.87$130.50
08-10 01:46Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.06$0.72
08-07 02:34Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?BUY0.97$194.00
08-05 00:35Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?BUY0.14$8.40
08-05 00:19Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.95$190.00