zk1984
0x00497937c03436c8b1c033123d282688c7976034
- Realised P&L
- $6.6k
- Volume
- $278.8k
- Markets traded
- 660
- Open portfolio
- $48.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded660
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$710.00at 0.823Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
- +$567.13at 0.281SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?
- +$514.80at 0.738Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?
- +$363.82at 0.821Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?
- +$289.30at 0.710Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $465.00 |
| 11-01 18:25 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $400.00 |
| 10-31 12:24 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $475.00 |
| 10-31 12:22 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $60.61 |
| 10-31 12:12 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 10-04 13:14 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $4.84 |
| 10-02 00:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.9k |
| 10-01 23:42 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $181.57 |
| 09-18 00:30 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $282.00 |
| 09-18 00:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $475.00 |
| 09-08 23:28 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | BUY | 0.9 | $360.00 |
| 09-08 23:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $546.00 |
| 09-02 01:00 | Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $470.00 |
| 09-02 00:53 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $455.00 |
| 08-18 22:04 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | BUY | 0.941 | $188.20 |