zk1984
0x00497937c03436c8b1c033123d282688c7976034
- Realised P&L
- $6.5k
- Volume
- $258.1k
- Markets traded
- 608
- Open portfolio
- $44.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded608
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$710.00at 0.823Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
- +$567.13at 0.281SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?
- +$514.80at 0.738Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?
- +$363.82at 0.821Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?
- +$289.30at 0.710Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 13:19 | Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $432.40 |
| 08-01 12:56 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.9843951774 | $478.05 |
| 08-01 12:50 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $400.36 |
| 07-30 10:46 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | BUY | 0.94 | $470.00 |
| 07-28 11:43 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 07-27 03:46 | Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 07-27 03:29 | Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2251658333 | $27.02 |
| 07-27 03:28 | Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $92.00 |
| 07-27 03:27 | Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $44.10 |
| 07-26 14:51 | Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $101.99 |
| 07-26 14:48 | Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $27.99 |
| 07-26 14:44 | Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $9.60 |
| 07-26 13:04 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.09 |
| 07-26 02:31 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 07-25 22:35 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |