zk1984
0x00497937c03436c8b1c033123d282688c7976034
- Realised P&L
- $9.1k
- Volume
- $275.2k
- Markets traded
- 643
- Open portfolio
- $48.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded643
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$710.00at 0.823Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
- +$567.13at 0.281SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?
- +$514.80at 0.738Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?
- +$363.82at 0.821Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?
- +$289.30at 0.710Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 23:28 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | BUY | 0.9 | $360.00 |
| 09-08 23:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $546.00 |
| 09-02 01:00 | Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $470.00 |
| 09-02 00:53 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $455.00 |
| 08-18 22:04 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | BUY | 0.941 | $188.20 |
| 08-15 12:33 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | BUY | 0.925 | $22.44 |
| 08-13 15:38 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $46.00 |
| 08-11 11:19 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 08-10 23:28 | Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | BUY | 0.9 | $45.00 |
| 08-10 23:26 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 08-10 02:11 | Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | BUY | 0.87 | $130.50 |
| 08-10 01:46 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.72 |
| 08-07 02:34 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $194.00 |
| 08-05 00:35 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $8.40 |
| 08-05 00:19 | Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $190.00 |