cit500
0x12b20c267ade52dbdda9dce0684ffaec7d93a11d
- Realised P&L
- $-404.96
- Volume
- $151.9k
- Markets traded
- 4,740
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,740
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.98at 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12PM ET
- +$49.60at 0.397Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3PM ET
- +$41.42at 0.857Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2PM ET
- +$38.82at 0.433Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET
- +$36.08at 0.935Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 19:10 | Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 10-19 19:10 | Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba have 10.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 10-19 19:10 | Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 12.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.69 | $2.81 |
| 10-19 19:10 | Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 14.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.71 |
| 10-19 17:07 | Paris curfew by October 31? | SELL | 0.3723933333 | $11.17 |
| 10-19 17:05 | Paris curfew by October 24? | BUY | 0.43 | $12.34 |
| 10-19 10:39 | Paris curfew by October 31? | BUY | 0.35609 | $10.68 |
| 10-18 23:14 | Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027? | BUY | 0.514 | $1.44 |
| 10-18 18:58 | Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 10-18 18:58 | Grok (Web) Outage by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 18:58 | Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.08 |
| 10-18 18:58 | Dreamcash FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.35 |
| 10-18 18:58 | Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027? | SELL | 0.483 | $11.01 |
| 10-18 18:58 | Will $ANSEM dip to $0.06 before 2027? | SELL | 0.55 | $12.54 |
| 10-18 18:58 | Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.14 |