0xBD65DEE01698d6E2CEc14Bcc3f7cac50824d304f-1772365350231
0xbd65dee01698d6e2cec14bcc3f7cac50824d304f
- Realised P&L
- $-403.93
- Volume
- $70.9k
- Markets traded
- 578
- Open portfolio
- $8.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded578
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$373.98at 0.550Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage
- +$301.22at 0.753Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
- +$301.12at 0.656Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?
- +$172.83at 0.286Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on August 31, 2026?
- +$159.36at 0.203Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:38 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.80 |
| 09-15 08:19 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 09-15 08:17 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0295896 | $4.44 |
| 09-15 08:15 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | SELL | 0.0020508633 | $5.99 |
| 09-15 04:30 | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.43 | $34.40 |
| 09-15 04:24 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 09-14 15:49 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 09-14 15:48 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 09-14 13:06 | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.41 | $69.70 |
| 09-12 06:02 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1102446658 | $16.64 |
| 09-12 05:47 | Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | SELL | 0.42004875 | $33.60 |
| 09-12 05:46 | Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $10.32 |
| 09-11 11:26 | Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.85 | $21.25 |
| 09-11 11:25 | Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $28.40 |
| 09-11 07:05 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $11.70 |