PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xBD65DEE01698d6E2CEc14Bcc3f7cac50824d304f-1772365350231

0xbd65dee01698d6e2cec14bcc3f7cac50824d304f

Realised P&L
$-403.93
Volume
$70.9k
Markets traded
578
Open portfolio
$8.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded578
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? · Yes0.7540.685$582.25$58.78
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat? · Yes0.8800.945$368.55+$25.16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4970.825$356.40+$141.72
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.7100.968$343.46+$91.41
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat? · Yes0.8580.945$326.02+$30.13
Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat? · Yes0.8680.935$243.10+$17.40
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? · Yes0.7530.805$241.48+$15.70
Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat? · Yes0.8400.925$240.50+$22.10
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-03 House seat? · No0.8990.955$238.63+$13.73
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat? · No0.8300.950$237.50+$30.00
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-15 House seat? · No0.8500.935$233.88+$21.38
Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat? · Yes0.8430.925$231.25+$20.51
Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat? · Yes0.8200.905$226.25+$21.25
Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat? · Yes0.7700.855$222.58+$22.23
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat? · Yes0.7710.845$219.70+$19.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 00:38Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?BUY0.12$4.80
09-15 08:19Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?SELL0.001$0.08
09-15 08:17Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0295896$4.44
09-15 08:15Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?SELL0.0020508633$5.99
09-15 04:30Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?BUY0.43$34.40
09-15 04:24Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?SELL0.49$49.00
09-14 15:49Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?SELL0.48$48.00
09-14 15:48Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?SELL0.48$48.00
09-14 13:06Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?BUY0.41$69.70
09-12 06:02Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1102446658$16.64
09-12 05:47Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?SELL0.42004875$33.60
09-12 05:46Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?SELL0.43$10.32
09-11 11:26Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?SELL0.85$21.25
09-11 11:25Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?SELL0.4$28.40
09-11 07:05Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.3$11.70