PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBD65DEE01698d6E2CEc14Bcc3f7cac50824d304f-1772365350231

0xbd65dee01698d6e2cec14bcc3f7cac50824d304f

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$84.3k
Markets traded
681
Open portfolio
$10.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded681
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kiin win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? · No0.9360.928$464.00−$4.00
Will Canyon win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? · No0.9000.898$449.25−$0.75
Will Ruler win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? · No0.9110.876$438.25−$17.25
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? · Yes0.7540.505$429.25−$211.78
Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? · No0.8600.830$415.00−$15.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4970.885$382.32+$167.64
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat? · Yes0.8800.962$375.18+$31.79
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat? · Yes0.8580.967$333.44+$37.54
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2000.255$255.00+$55.00
Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat? · Yes0.8400.975$253.50+$35.10
Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat? · Yes0.8680.975$253.37+$27.67
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? · Yes0.7530.840$251.98+$26.20
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-03 House seat? · No0.8990.990$247.50+$22.60
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat? · No0.8300.990$247.50+$40.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? · No0.7330.845$239.13+$31.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:08Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.946$23.65
11-01 23:08Ostium FDV above $75M one day after launch?BUY0.04$1.00
11-01 21:57Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?BUY0.15$3.00
11-01 21:57Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?BUY0.83$16.60
11-01 20:54Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)BUY0.25$1.25
11-01 20:02Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?BUY0.123$2.46
11-01 20:02Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?BUY0.86$17.20
11-01 19:31Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)BUY0.9$174.60
11-01 19:31Spread: Jaguars (-19.5)BUY0.09$17.46
11-01 16:33Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.0389999987$1.02
11-01 16:33Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.0389999987$1.02
11-01 16:33Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.9479999997$24.65
11-01 16:33Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.9479999892$24.65
11-01 12:10Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch?BUY0.06$1.20
11-01 12:10Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.924$18.48