title1
0xbe74297ff19030f104ce1d538709f43b30eca70e
- Realised P&L
- $25.1k
- Volume
- $2.99M
- Markets traded
- 7,063
- Open portfolio
- $50.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,063
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.019Games Total: O/U 2.5
- +$1.5kat 0.428Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
- +$1.4kat 0.133Will Vitality Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
- +$1.3kat 0.001Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1
- +$1.3kat 0.247Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:10 | Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $21.90 |
| 11-01 18:43 | Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $271.32 |
| 11-01 16:55 | Will Jay Z appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | SELL | 0.05 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 16:54 | Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | SELL | 0.923 | $281.15 |
| 11-01 16:52 | Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.85 | $95.61 |
| 11-01 16:50 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | SELL | 0.25 | $10.37 |
| 11-01 16:05 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3036910635 | $90.50 |
| 11-01 15:28 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.655 | $79.91 |
| 11-01 14:59 | Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2? | BUY | 0.9 | $172.09 |
| 11-01 14:45 | Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 14:44 | Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 14:13 | Will Luke Combs appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | SELL | 0.91 | $380.93 |
| 11-01 14:12 | Will Jay Z appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 11-01 12:26 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3125 | $66.25 |
| 11-01 12:23 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.1089999999 | $15.00 |