PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hithitfar

0xe53c335b0de473132c06b4fa6463b721fbdbe569

Realised P&L
$13.8k
Volume
$805.2k
Markets traded
4,915
Open portfolio
$23.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,915
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · No0.8910.873$918.02−$18.73
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $500B by December 31? · No0.9400.964$791.02+$19.21
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9640.961$673.00−$2.31
Printr FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.9090.907$593.57−$1.57
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9600.958$460.63−$1.16
Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · No0.9020.905$366.42+$1.32
Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · No0.8940.910$359.97+$6.10
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? · No0.9640.976$332.62+$3.81
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31? · No0.9520.959$329.95+$2.07
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? · No0.7630.963$329.18+$68.30
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? · No0.7080.845$324.21+$52.48
Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch? · No0.8700.749$317.35−$51.46
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B? · Yes0.9420.983$310.10+$12.66
Will Abstract launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.9290.959$309.38+$9.51
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? · No0.8800.800$305.18−$30.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:10Will Chaos Labs launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5099999885$12.85
11-01 23:05Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.5999999891$11.05
11-01 22:58Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?SELL0.86$16.34
11-01 22:58Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?SELL0.17$3.23
11-01 22:31Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.0673510825$5.76
11-01 22:31Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.945$80.75
11-01 21:221win FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.99$46.77
11-01 21:001win FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.9269999988$43.80
11-01 20:55Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?BUY0.8499999947$8.02
11-01 20:47Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 15.25M in November?BUY0.52$9.88
11-01 20:13Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?SELL0.99$18.71
11-01 19:43Israel military action against Syria by December 31, 2026?SELL0.23$4.36
11-01 19:43Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?SELL0.7747521097$14.69
11-01 19:37Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersSELL0.46$2.35
11-01 19:37Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersSELL0.64$3.26