Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2028-01-01
Resolves by: https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.20. down 0.17 over the period, from 0.37. Range 0.12 to 0.37. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.21	1,695	1,695
0.22	968	2,662
0.23	1,117	3,779
0.25	106	3,885
0.26	55	3,940
0.27	130	4,071
0.29	5	4,076
0.30	121	4,197
0.31	700	4,897
0.32	55	4,952
0.59	483	5,435
0.61	50	5,485

Spread0.01Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	1,584	1,584
0.19	1,013	2,597
0.18	151	2,748
0.12	50	2,798
0.10	205	3,003
0.07	205	3,208
0.04	400	3,608
0.01	27	3,634

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	1,584	1,584
0.81	1,013	2,597
0.82	151	2,748
0.88	50	2,798
0.90	205	3,003
0.93	205	3,208
0.96	400	3,608
0.99	27	3,634

Spread0.01Mid0.80

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.79	1,695	1,695
0.78	968	2,662
0.77	1,117	3,779
0.75	106	3,885
0.74	55	3,940
0.73	130	4,071
0.71	5	4,076
0.70	121	4,197
0.69	700	4,897
0.68	55	4,952
0.41	483	5,435
0.39	50	5,485

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
seal7	Yes	4,881.92
purplegatto	Yes	1,708
neophiliatic	Yes	1,248.44
Viktor-TWK	Yes	1,156.22
Dragontree	Yes	790.15
Sladcrusher	Yes	666.67
molodoyy	Yes	650.13
0xE43235629C5F4581D039CEc28014dC74631b934A-1767367002794	Yes	580.63
wqujvj	Yes	554.88
0x3a9d…f332	Yes	530.95
PaddyAlpha	Yes	453.78
eightpenguins	Yes	443.99
LornaPredicts	Yes	437.66
0xdC83474BC4CDf4d037f8BE1EcA21cfa290aaBCD2-1772195983959	Yes	416.36
clazzy1	Yes	400
archausen	Yes	368
dsfd3	Yes	320
0x96F004Fcb1c69bC87d6eC83eAC769905DbD0E3b9-1774692057968	Yes	299.99
bono1567	Yes	287.7
Jesetrading	Yes	284.7

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:04:06	SELL	Yes	0.2	9	$1.84
02:19:42	BUY	Yes	0.2	100	$20.00
03:17:25	SELL	Yes	0.13	0	$0.00
03:17:21	BUY	No	0.83	14	$11.69
03:17:21	BUY	No	0.8299999964	14	$11.69
03:17:21	BUY	No	0.8299999975	24	$20.00
00:26:39	BUY	Yes	0.18	10	$1.80
00:08:03	BUY	Yes	0.17	16	$2.71
23:06:10	BUY	No	0.7899999905	25	$20.00
22:56:10	BUY	No	0.7899999905	25	$20.00
22:42:04	SELL	No	0.78	2	$1.25
19:02:51	SELL	Yes	0.21	100	$21.00
16:16:29	BUY	No	0.759999696	1	$1.00
08:29:43	SELL	Yes	0.21	112	$23.46
08:19:14	BUY	No	0.7799999891	13	$10.00
08:19:14	BUY	No	0.78	50	$39.00
08:19:14	BUY	No	0.77	212	$163.01
07:51:14	BUY	Yes	0.24	55	$13.20
05:10:58	BUY	No	0.7927272727	55	$43.60
02:31:03	BUY	Yes	0.22	50	$11.00
02:31:00	SELL	No	0.8	94	$75.26
02:31:00	SELL	Yes	0.19	30	$5.70
01:15:23	BUY	Yes	0.175	100	$17.50
01:15:23	BUY	Yes	0.18	50	$9.00
01:15:21	BUY	Yes	0.19	45	$8.55