archausen
0x91688db6bcb1132e68334a87d84eb0399244571a
- Realised P&L
- $-0.21
- Volume
- $368.00
- Markets traded
- 1
- Open portfolio
- $75.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded1
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.205 | $75.44 | −$156.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.21at 0.500Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:47 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.30 |
| 09-17 20:19 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.62 | $64.48 |
| 09-17 19:53 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.65 | $105.95 |
| 09-17 19:42 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |