bono1567
0x126d575b090ff4f66994cc957f7b323a97630b84
- Realised P&L
- $-25.91
- Volume
- $680.67
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $112.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.205 | $58.98 | −$93.50 |
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.397 | 0.415 | $53.32 | +$2.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-25.91at 0.098Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 23:08 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.3973973818 | $51.06 |
| 09-30 23:01 | Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0945245208 | $25.00 |
| 09-23 22:37 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.5299999985 | $152.48 |