PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

neophiliatic

0x9aeb5105ae40f5eed241da6749fdbe9508459058

Realised P&L
$18.21
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$439.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes0.4000.205$255.93−$243.01
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.805$94.84+$20.62
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7200.635$88.90−$11.90
Will Partido Popular win 36-39 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$4.48
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30? · No0.0120.000$0.00−$2.40
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00−$8.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 20:10Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.37$6.99
09-29 20:09Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.32$16.00
09-29 20:09Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.31$6.82
09-29 20:09Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.3$15.00
09-26 11:12Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.36$238.47
09-23 08:48Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.72$100.80
09-10 22:10Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.47$54.05
09-10 21:43Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.49$151.86
09-10 21:43Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.48$7.30
05-26 17:53Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.629999998$74.22
04-12 19:56Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.996$74.22
04-11 22:10Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.7099999995$52.91
03-18 21:10Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?SELL0.002$1.00
03-15 19:59Will Partido Popular win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?BUY0.8$41.53
03-15 19:58Will Partido Popular win 36-39 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?BUY0.1$4.48