PolyBot

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Traders

seal7

0x2b9dbf4b6e0e11309a9d6d2a09b72f65f652adc0

Realised P&L
$131.5k
Volume
$4.41M
Markets traded
832
Open portfolio
$57.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded832
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5100.635$18.0k+$3.6k
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7100.705$9.3k−$65.80
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.7790.998$6.8k+$1.5k
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.5600.705$4.8k+$991.30
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.4500.435$4.3k−$148.19
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.2100.255$3.2k+$567.17
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · Yes0.5940.750$2.4k+$499.38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6540.735$2.1k+$229.58
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · No0.6810.759$1.5k+$152.80
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6770.265$1.2k−$1.9k
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes0.4390.205$1.0k−$1.1k
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes0.2300.155$759.31−$365.63
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.4290.955$633.12+$348.96
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · No0.8001.000$334.56+$66.78
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.036$269.77−$929.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:13Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.27$4.2k
11-01 16:44Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.8436701237$6.7k
11-01 16:38Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.21$5.9k
11-01 11:22Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.8505901268$3.8k
11-01 09:41Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?BUY0.4325141872$60.21
11-01 09:34Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.8083197925$3.1k
11-01 09:32Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.8$3.9k
11-01 09:32Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.7955723248$6.0k
10-31 10:03Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.77$1.3k
10-30 07:43Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.71$9.3k
10-28 18:47Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.45$4.4k
10-28 01:37Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.51$14.5k
10-27 23:36Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.04$37.33
10-27 23:23Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.41$548.71
10-27 23:14Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.43$101.30