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Traders

eightpenguins

0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766

Realised P&L
$302.4k
Volume
$7.49M
Markets traded
651
Open portfolio
$91.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded651
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7470.835$42.3k+$4.4k
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.3660.405$10.4k+$1.0k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.7641.000$7.1k+$1.7k
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.7390.905$6.4k+$1.2k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3200.125$4.4k$6.8k
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? · No0.7360.955$4.2k+$956.43
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · No0.6310.880$3.5k+$981.36
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3020.406$2.8k+$710.58
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · No0.8500.875$1.9k+$55.55
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.0960.080$1.9k$377.24
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.0660.055$1.8k$360.34
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.6550.875$1.2k+$293.68
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · No0.8200.715$794.37$116.65
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4040.155$707.88$1.1k
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3910.512$658.94+$156.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:13Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.9757011544$5.3k
09-17 14:35Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.37$5.3k
09-16 17:02Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.36$4.0k
09-16 17:02Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.3545859007$1.9k
09-15 21:56Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.07$287.06
09-15 21:25Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.07$461.69
09-15 18:23Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.15$7.50
09-15 18:10Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.06$257.53
09-15 17:59Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.07$88.46
09-15 17:48Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.07$1.8k
09-15 17:48Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.06$24.00
09-15 17:39Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.06$1.3k
09-15 00:56Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.17$865.64
09-15 00:41Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.18$1.6k
09-14 16:54US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.38$161.94