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Traders

eightpenguins

0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766

Realised P&L
$321.4k
Volume
$8.57M
Markets traded
704
Open portfolio
$27.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded704
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.4500.435$9.4k−$325.73
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.7390.936$6.5k+$1.4k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7470.825$3.5k+$330.94
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.5800.655$2.2k+$249.97
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · Yes0.2280.245$1.4k+$94.68
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5060.565$861.37+$90.26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.6900.993$751.85+$229.44
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? · Yes0.2760.130$682.14−$767.28
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.4610.438$667.80−$34.96
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4040.085$388.19−$1.5k
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5480.105$339.42−$1.4k
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.3390.070$216.79−$840.33
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5800.141$156.08−$488.25
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0020.004$125.61+$52.36
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes0.6200.205$91.02−$184.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 23:11US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?SELL0.2800168871$497.45
10-29 23:02US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?BUY0.3999628483$710.53
10-29 22:59US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.3587422467$402.66
10-29 22:59US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.4065551906$295.83
10-29 22:56US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.5619456628$2.7k
10-29 22:56US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.5748375021$1.4k
10-29 22:54US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.1488506881$617.10
10-29 22:54US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.4959243237$5.5k
10-29 17:42Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.9865951625$4.1k
10-29 17:42Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.9910452037$11.6k
10-29 17:42Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.9737892715$4.4k
10-28 18:02Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.45$9.8k
10-28 17:34Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.54$4.0k
10-28 16:15Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.460929348$3.0k
10-28 16:13Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.4573972944$697.53