eightpenguins
0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766
- Realised P&L
- $302.4k
- Volume
- $7.49M
- Markets traded
- 651
- Open portfolio
- $91.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded651
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.4kat 0.281US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$55.2kat 0.348US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$30.9kat 0.399US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$24.7kat 0.206Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$23.9kat 0.992MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:13 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.9757011544 | $5.3k |
| 09-17 14:35 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.37 | $5.3k |
| 09-16 17:02 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.36 | $4.0k |
| 09-16 17:02 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3545859007 | $1.9k |
| 09-15 21:56 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $287.06 |
| 09-15 21:25 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $461.69 |
| 09-15 18:23 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 09-15 18:10 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $257.53 |
| 09-15 17:59 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $88.46 |
| 09-15 17:48 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.8k |
| 09-15 17:48 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $24.00 |
| 09-15 17:39 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.3k |
| 09-15 00:56 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $865.64 |
| 09-15 00:41 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.6k |
| 09-14 16:54 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $161.94 |