eightpenguins
0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766
- Realised P&L
- $321.4k
- Volume
- $8.57M
- Markets traded
- 704
- Open portfolio
- $27.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded704
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.4kat 0.281US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$55.2kat 0.348US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$30.9kat 0.399US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$24.7kat 0.206Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$23.9kat 0.992MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 23:11 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | SELL | 0.2800168871 | $497.45 |
| 10-29 23:02 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.3999628483 | $710.53 |
| 10-29 22:59 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.3587422467 | $402.66 |
| 10-29 22:59 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.4065551906 | $295.83 |
| 10-29 22:56 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.5619456628 | $2.7k |
| 10-29 22:56 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.5748375021 | $1.4k |
| 10-29 22:54 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.1488506881 | $617.10 |
| 10-29 22:54 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.4959243237 | $5.5k |
| 10-29 17:42 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.9865951625 | $4.1k |
| 10-29 17:42 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.9910452037 | $11.6k |
| 10-29 17:42 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.9737892715 | $4.4k |
| 10-28 18:02 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.8k |
| 10-28 17:34 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.54 | $4.0k |
| 10-28 16:15 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.460929348 | $3.0k |
| 10-28 16:13 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4573972944 | $697.53 |