Viktor-TWK
0x4d97e9344c7e1b732ea7679735270e25798e6041
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $17.4k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.805 | 0.735 | $592.26 | −$56.74 |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes | 0.432 | 0.395 | $456.71 | −$43.29 |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes | 0.381 | 0.285 | $374.17 | −$125.83 |
| Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.025 | $40.41 | −$31.90 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.547 | 0.590 | $35.40 | +$2.60 |
| Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.027 | $13.50 | +$11.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-192.73at 0.403Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
- +$-476.67at 0.596Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
- +$-1.1kat 0.784Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 07:55 | Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $176.42 |
| 09-14 07:35 | Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999989 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 07:35 | Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999997 | $200.00 |
| 09-13 12:42 | Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.3808398865 | $500.00 |
| 09-13 12:40 | Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8621116779 | $200.00 |
| 09-13 12:38 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.4324430706 | $500.00 |
| 09-10 14:26 | Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.0580404705 | $40.98 |
| 09-10 14:25 | Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.0312061041 | $15.60 |
| 09-10 14:25 | Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.0291485566 | $3.59 |
| 09-10 14:10 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5466666667 | $32.80 |
| 03-18 19:45 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | SELL | 0.28 | $422.55 |
| 03-18 19:45 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | SELL | 0.2808080149 | $443.27 |
| 03-18 19:44 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | SELL | 0.4185515823 | $1.2k |
| 03-09 13:40 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY | 0.4028967561 | $636.00 |
| 03-09 13:38 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | BUY | 0.7800335819 | $1.5k |