Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?
- Tick
- 0.001
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2027-01-01
- Resolves by
- https://agi.safe.ai/
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.058 | 81 | 81 |
| 0.062 | 75 | 156 |
| 0.069 | 80 | 236 |
| 0.072 | 40 | 276 |
| 0.082 | 20 | 296 |
| 0.195 | 10 | 306 |
| 0.196 | 9 | 315 |
| 0.293 | 90 | 405 |
| 0.403 | 90 | 495 |
| 0.521 | 60 | 555 |
| 0.522 | 40 | 595 |
| 0.538 | 100 | 695 |
Spread0.018Mid0.049
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.040 | 124 | 124 |
| 0.036 | 53 | 177 |
| 0.032 | 21 | 198 |
| 0.030 | 24 | 222 |
| 0.024 | 7 | 230 |
| 0.023 | 65 | 295 |
| 0.017 | 12 | 307 |
| 0.016 | 20 | 327 |
| 0.010 | 13 | 340 |
| 0.009 | 14 | 354 |
| 0.008 | 14 | 368 |
| 0.007 | 240 | 608 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.960 | 124 | 124 |
| 0.964 | 53 | 177 |
| 0.968 | 21 | 198 |
| 0.970 | 24 | 222 |
| 0.976 | 7 | 230 |
| 0.977 | 65 | 295 |
| 0.983 | 12 | 307 |
| 0.984 | 20 | 327 |
| 0.990 | 13 | 340 |
| 0.991 | 14 | 354 |
| 0.992 | 14 | 368 |
| 0.993 | 240 | 608 |
Spread0.018Mid0.951
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.942 | 81 | 81 |
| 0.938 | 75 | 156 |
| 0.931 | 80 | 236 |
| 0.928 | 40 | 276 |
| 0.918 | 20 | 296 |
| 0.805 | 10 | 306 |
| 0.804 | 9 | 315 |
| 0.707 | 90 | 405 |
| 0.597 | 90 | 495 |
| 0.479 | 60 | 555 |
| 0.478 | 40 | 595 |
| 0.462 | 100 | 695 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cat6767 | Yes | 552 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 475.76 |
| whispercatalyst | Yes | 148.42 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 96.46 |
| just-bettor | Yes | 55 |
| thursdays | Yes | 30.38 |
| Computerdude111 | Yes | 30 |
| pppnn | Yes | 20 |
| televisionloud | Yes | 15.4 |
| Olcan | No | 578.57 |
| peter239784 | No | 343.23 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 160.37 |
| makeit99 | No | 149 |
| richardd | No | 86.43 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 33.49 |
| _test_i075_CAND_11b7 | No | 28.36 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | 20 |
| cigarettes | No | 8.43 |
| LabEma | No | 5.27 |
| 0xaF05465D8f88a8Aad0BD916d23fA781BaA8a33E2-1781769499788 | No | 5 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:20:54 | BUY | Yes | 0.0496583278 | 30 | $1.51 |
| 22:01:49 | SELL | No | 0.91 | 0 | $0.33 |
| 21:58:01 | SELL | Yes | 0.03319 | 20 | $0.66 |
| 21:57:58 | BUY | No | 0.9516666667 | 24 | $22.84 |
| 21:57:58 | BUY | No | 0.92 | 104 | $95.68 |
| 21:57:57 | BUY | No | 0.9513290305 | 40 | $38.40 |
| 17:05:01 | SELL | No | 0.91 | 3 | $2.59 |
| 16:06:40 | SELL | No | 0.91 | 7 | $6.14 |
| 16:06:26 | BUY | Yes | 0.0772340426 | 12 | $0.91 |
| 21:46:57 | BUY | No | 0.8973548427 | 343 | $308.00 |
| 21:46:56 | BUY | No | 0.92 | 24 | $22.08 |
| 21:46:56 | BUY | No | 0.92 | 20 | $18.40 |
| 21:46:56 | BUY | No | 0.92 | 33 | $30.36 |
| 21:46:56 | BUY | No | 0.9194603147 | 20 | $18.40 |
| 11:29:14 | SELL | Yes | 0.09 | 4 | $0.39 |
| 10:59:48 | SELL | No | 0.89 | 15 | $13.64 |
| 10:59:47 | SELL | No | 0.8960630315 | 40 | $35.82 |
| 10:59:30 | BUY | Yes | 0.09555 | 24 | $2.29 |
| 10:59:30 | BUY | Yes | 0.0699999999 | 201 | $14.05 |
| 10:59:29 | BUY | Yes | 0.0699999992 | 77 | $5.40 |
| 10:59:29 | BUY | Yes | 0.0699999979 | 24 | $1.70 |
| 07:16:56 | SELL | Yes | 0.06 | 12 | $0.73 |
| 03:41:35 | BUY | No | 0.97 | 40 | $38.80 |
| 03:41:35 | BUY | No | 0.9699996109 | 2 | $1.77 |
| 03:41:33 | BUY | No | 0.92 | 20 | $18.40 |