PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.12. Range 0.10 to 0.12. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.11409409
0.12316725
0.1380805
0.1420825
0.1531856
0.185001,356
0.1991,364
0.23101,375
0.245001,875
0.64301,905
0.7161,911
0.724722,383

Spread0.01Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.10515515
0.091,3051,820
0.08201,840
0.07401,880
0.05411,922
0.04501,972
0.033262,298
0.024322,730
0.017503,480

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.90515515
0.911,3051,820
0.92201,840
0.93401,880
0.95411,922
0.96501,972
0.973262,298
0.984322,730
0.997503,480

Spread0.01Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.89409409
0.88316725
0.8620745
0.8531776
0.825001,276
0.8191,284
0.77101,295
0.765001,795
0.36301,825
0.2961,831
0.284722,303
0.271,0373,340

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
cat6767Yes552
pppnnYes40
whispercatalystYes40
sirjhow01Yes31
Computerdude111Yes30
AJSVYes27.03
monoclithYes20
LornaPredictsYes4.24
Numitus1994Yes2.33
OlcanNo227.46
InterestingUserNo160.37
SuperTestsNo111
il1No100
richarddNo100
HaradwaithNo26.44
a5533No15
POB1No3.68
prjjfb34No2.85

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:54:27SELLYes0.13$0.29
16:59:27SELLYes0.13$0.31
08:32:28SELLNo0.8815$13.20
18:36:39SELLNo0.875$4.35
17:36:33SELLNo0.885$4.40
00:24:00SELLYes0.1220$2.40
00:23:15SELLYes0.1431$4.34
00:22:45BUYNo0.85111$94.35
23:14:39SELLNo0.8320$16.60
23:14:06SELLNo0.854$3.13
23:14:00SELLNo0.8623$19.65
23:12:46BUYYes0.139999999123$3.20
23:12:42SELLNo0.86165$141.62
19:01:15SELLNo0.8767$58.22
03:50:15BUYYes0.129999994823$3.00
03:50:10BUYYes0.1340$5.20
21:36:09SELLYes0.17$0.73
21:36:07SELLYes0.1140$4.40
21:00:54SELLYes0.1120$2.20
21:00:52SELLYes0.1220$2.40
20:59:45BUYNo0.88100$88.00
04:55:09SELLYes0.0940$3.60
04:55:07SELLYes0.091041666796$8.74
04:54:36SELLNo0.8940$35.60
04:54:30SELLNo0.8920$17.80