PolyBot

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Traders

Computerdude111

0xf186449663da29a6eb7e2a14a62d2c5fc2ac09b0

Realised P&L
$873.14
Volume
$54.6k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$916.61

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes0.5620.485$385.17$61.04
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · Yes0.8380.923$149.29+$13.76
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? · No0.7300.845$98.70+$13.43
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · Yes0.2900.210$71.68$27.20
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? · Yes0.7240.775$50.52+$3.37
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? · Yes0.1480.115$32.90$9.45
Astra removed from public access by October 31? · No0.9000.915$27.45+$0.45
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes0.7000.515$20.60$7.40
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? · Yes0.1290.040$17.76$40.36
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? · Yes0.8800.920$15.09+$0.65
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? · No0.9500.950$14.24+$0.00
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? · Yes0.9400.957$13.65+$0.24
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.6600.840$4.20+$0.90
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · Yes0.7400.770$3.85+$0.15
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? · Yes0.0640.076$3.84+$0.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 00:29Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?SELL0.49$42.05
09-20 00:28Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?SELL0.28$19.04
09-20 00:20Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?BUY0.2271319409$31.21
09-20 00:17Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?BUY0.44$35.20
09-20 00:17Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?SELL0.896$53.76
09-19 01:17Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?SELL0.8802935207$112.77
09-18 10:03Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?BUY0.42$21.00
09-18 10:03Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?SELL0.88$9.17
09-18 04:46Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?BUY0.43$10.75
09-18 04:44Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?SELL0.864$86.40
09-18 02:44Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?BUY0.823$8.23
09-18 02:42Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?BUY0.3224280746$10.20
09-17 23:58Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?BUY0.823$16.46
09-17 18:45Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?SELL0.849$16.96
09-17 18:45Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?SELL0.989$9.89