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Traders

prediction1997

0x2f633efb75256a2f2445110c8978684ab8936643

Realised P&L
$64.6k
Volume
$972.7k
Markets traded
1,018
Open portfolio
$515.16

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded1,018
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2? · Yes0.5870.955$202.91+$78.19
Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2? · No0.4340.960$145.58+$79.76
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8600.915$91.50+$5.50
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? · Yes0.8240.835$54.27+$0.72
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.9150.205$21.25$73.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 20:05Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.98$24.50
08-04 20:01Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.98$49.00
08-04 20:00Will Booking Holdings (BKNG) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.9525688073$103.83
08-04 15:59Will there be between 28 and 30 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?SELL0.97$86.57
08-04 15:50Will there be between 28 and 30 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?SELL0.99$297.00
08-04 15:19Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.4853759094$850.00
08-04 15:19Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?BUY0.3499999998$850.00
08-04 15:19Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.4893758596$850.00
08-04 15:19Will there be between 28 and 30 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?BUY0.36477842$141.99
08-04 15:19Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?BUY0.5866973434$850.00
08-04 15:19Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?BUY0.4337989473$367.58
08-03 20:05Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.95$9.50
08-03 20:05Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8146987174$88.29
08-03 14:00Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?BUY0.9441905374$367.20
07-31 14:00Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in July?BUY0.7688522437$303.78