peter239784
0x7d58986f00b3c00e9b24d02f8e35381ca154cfcc
- Realised P&L
- $7.7k
- Volume
- $3.28M
- Markets traded
- 1,915
- Open portfolio
- $11.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,915
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.0kat 0.255Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
- +$6.0kat 0.996MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.4kat 0.498Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$3.1kat 0.836Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$2.9kat 0.419Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:13 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot | BUY | 0.3 | $12.00 |
| 11-01 14:05 | Brest: Moise Kouame vs Martin Damm | BUY | 0.529999998 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 14:03 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 14:02 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.640629886 | $450.00 |
| 11-01 13:54 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 13:53 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego | BUY | 0.4599999923 | $25.00 |
| 10-31 23:58 | Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $150.00 |
| 10-31 23:55 | Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999993 | $150.00 |
| 10-31 23:38 | Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.1779110434 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 23:35 | Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.998001996 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 23:35 | Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $491.40 |
| 10-31 23:23 | Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.1465 | $2.93 |
| 10-31 23:22 | Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.1487386959 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 23:13 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 23:12 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | SELL | 0.25 | $24.04 |