0xaF05465D8f88a8Aad0BD916d23fA781BaA8a33E2-1781769499788
0xaf05465d8f88a8aad0bd916d23fa781baa8a33e2
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $108.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,868
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,868
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.80at 0.611Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?
- +$10.07at 0.903Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
- +$9.22at 0.949Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
- +$8.44at 0.630Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.40at 0.252US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:28 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 11-01 17:08 | Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 11-01 17:00 | Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 11-01 16:48 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 11-01 14:13 | Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 11-01 05:17 | Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | BUY | 0.861 | $4.30 |
| 10-31 19:38 | Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.563 | $2.81 |
| 10-31 19:13 | Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 10-31 18:48 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-31 18:48 | Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 10-31 17:36 | 1win FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 10-31 17:08 | 1win FDV above $45M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 10-31 16:53 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 10-31 16:52 | Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 10-31 16:51 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |