0xaF05465D8f88a8Aad0BD916d23fA781BaA8a33E2-1781769499788
0xaf05465d8f88a8aad0bd916d23fa781baa8a33e2
- Realised P&L
- $492.51
- Volume
- $68.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,619
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,619
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.80at 0.611Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?
- +$10.07at 0.903Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
- +$9.22at 0.949Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
- +$9.21at 0.243Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
- +$8.44at 0.630Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:08 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-17 07:59 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-17 04:47 | Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-16 07:03 | Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 09-16 03:49 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 09-15 14:35 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-14 14:19 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 09-13 22:19 | Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 09-13 20:39 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 09-13 18:11 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 09-12 23:31 | Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 09-12 15:51 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 09-12 06:29 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 09-11 12:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-11 12:03 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |