Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.07 to 0.10. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	557	557
0.11	707	1,264
0.12	279	1,543
0.13	288	1,831
0.14	167	1,998
0.21	113	2,111
0.22	500	2,611
0.38	11	2,622
0.39	13	2,635
0.40	68	2,702
0.41	300	3,002
0.44	30	3,032

Spread0.01Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	629	629
0.08	690	1,319
0.07	420	1,739
0.06	721	2,460
0.05	225	2,685
0.04	12	2,697
0.03	87	2,784
0.02	248	3,032
0.01	324	3,356

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	629	629
0.92	690	1,319
0.93	420	1,739
0.94	721	2,460
0.95	225	2,685
0.96	12	2,697
0.97	87	2,784
0.98	248	3,032
0.99	324	3,356

Spread0.01Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	557	557
0.89	707	1,264
0.88	279	1,543
0.87	288	1,831
0.86	167	1,998
0.79	113	2,111
0.78	500	2,611
0.62	11	2,622
0.61	13	2,635
0.60	68	2,702
0.59	300	3,002
0.56	30	3,032

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
folioquant	Yes	547.11
Yeahsingularityyah	Yes	360.64
Dr.PNL	Yes	327.52
alphazero0	Yes	318.14
Numitus1994	Yes	143.24
TradingBear	Yes	120
AJSV	Yes	49.77
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	48
V4grant	Yes	16.67
DAN404	Yes	10
Mojito9	Yes	5
planktonXD	Yes	1.57
Olcan	No	578.34
zk1984	No	416.15
peter239784	No	412.33
Mustafalafel	No	258.05
varch01	No	216.67
Haradwaith	No	52.4
LornaPredicts	No	8.69
zeniqle.bot-adam	No	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:54:52	SELL	Yes	0.09	10	$0.90
12:01:15	SELL	No	0.9	0	$0.40
16:53:01	SELL	No	0.89	0	$0.39
10:21:48	SELL	No	0.89	35	$31.01
07:47:13	SELL	No	0.9	40	$36.00
07:47:07	SELL	No	0.9	20	$18.00
07:47:06	SELL	No	0.9094	40	$36.38
07:45:33	SELL	No	0.91	20	$18.20
07:45:25	BUY	Yes	0.0831844228	361	$30.00
23:29:24	SELL	Yes	0.07	5	$0.37
23:28:28	SELL	Yes	0.07	20	$1.43
23:28:25	SELL	Yes	0.09	20	$1.80
23:28:21	SELL	Yes	0.09	20	$1.80
23:28:19	BUY	No	0.9	20	$18.40
23:28:16	BUY	No	0.9	20	$18.40
23:28:15	BUY	No	0.9	400	$360.00
16:05:12	SELL	No	0.89	15	$13.12
15:51:21	SELL	No	0.88	2	$1.58
10:26:21	SELL	Yes	0.09	19	$1.73
10:26:21	SELL	Yes	0.09	20	$1.80
10:26:21	SELL	Yes	0.09	20	$1.80
10:26:19	BUY	No	0.8997574778	412	$371.00
03:51:13	SELL	No	0.89	20	$17.80
05:49:37	SELL	No	0.88	1	$0.90
05:28:40	SELL	No	0.88	40	$35.20

Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on… · PolyBot Pro