Mustafalafel
0x8c0b637b43ccbd2069b0f789b8439777fdb4f0fb
- Realised P&L
- $45.1k
- Volume
- $4.97M
- Markets traded
- 632
- Open portfolio
- $35.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded632
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.5kat 0.044Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$7.2kat 0.092Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
- +$5.7kat 0.239U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$4.1kat 0.332Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
- +$3.0kat 0.414Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 17:05 | Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a piglin? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 10-07 17:03 | Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a hoglin? | BUY | 0.81 | $96.47 |
| 10-07 17:02 | Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a warden? | SELL | 0.15 | $10.65 |
| 10-07 17:02 | Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a pillager again? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.05 |
| 10-07 17:01 | Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a polar bear? | SELL | 0.08 | $5.76 |
| 10-07 17:01 | Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an elder guardian? | SELL | 0.1 | $14.20 |
| 10-06 20:07 | Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a witch? | SELL | 0.3 | $12.30 |
| 10-06 20:02 | Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by the void? | SELL | 0.7861609549 | $204.17 |
| 10-06 19:56 | Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an ender dragon? | BUY | 0.4 | $33.84 |
| 10-06 17:11 | Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a ghast? | BUY | 0.2924537201 | $49.61 |
| 10-06 17:08 | Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by lava again? | BUY | 0.5970421297 | $149.37 |
| 10-06 16:40 | Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a blaze? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 10-06 16:27 | Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a zombie again? | BUY | 0.67 | $40.20 |
| 10-06 15:56 | Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.80609375 | $206.36 |
| 10-06 15:42 | Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a vex? | BUY | 0.88 | $352.00 |