TradingBear
0xb567608cc44dd0c2a083b3f9eea78e7d973e1575
- Realised P&L
- $-528.86
- Volume
- $107.1k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $489.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$291.00at 0.030Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?
- +$187.13at 0.070Meta (META) Up or Down on July 9?
- +$166.78at 0.164Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$142.28at 0.538Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?
- +$122.07at 0.061Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 09:12 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 11:11 | Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.60 |
| 09-09 09:10 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 18:53 | Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.79 |
| 09-05 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.21 |
| 09-05 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.21 |
| 09-03 23:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 09-03 23:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 09-02 13:30 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $62 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.9698689667 | $290.96 |
| 09-02 10:13 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $62 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $13.80 |
| 09-01 21:36 | Exact Score: CA Grau 0 - 0 FBC Melgar? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.31 |
| 08-20 14:45 | Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on August 20? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.05 |
| 08-20 10:07 | Will Deere & Co (DE) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.69 |
| 08-20 09:27 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency" during his rally with Darline Graham? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.02 |
| 08-18 14:08 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 18? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |