alphazero0
0xd93aea19d237987724de07a6b5790fa56339abdc
- Realised P&L
- $-30.55
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $60.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.095 | $30.22 | +$7.95 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.160 | $21.22 | +$7.96 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.385 | $8.69 | +$1.69 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-31.73at 0.043Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 12:03 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | BUY | 0.1 | $13.26 |
| 08-29 12:02 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0132900726 | $14.15 |
| 08-28 17:39 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $18.65 |
| 08-28 17:37 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | BUY | 0.3099999717 | $7.00 |
| 08-27 14:21 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | BUY | 0.0699999971 | $22.27 |
| 08-25 13:17 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0409999991 | $43.65 |