PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

varch01

0x0362bb926368b144e0ff98f6828a251e4cb6449e

Realised P&L
$-43.5k
Volume
$4.54M
Markets traded
11,894
Open portfolio
$78.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11,894
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 20:59Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes?BUY0.81$81.00
09-12 20:57Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?BUY0.91$91.00
09-12 20:53Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?BUY0.74$211.88
09-12 20:34Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?BUY0.9$90.00
09-12 20:26Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?BUY0.63$63.00
09-12 16:05Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?SELL0.9$24.61
09-12 16:00Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?SELL0.9232941176$78.48
09-12 12:16Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 50k and 60k?BUY0.86$70.52
09-12 12:12Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7$140.00
09-12 12:08Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?BUY0.68$78.20
09-12 12:05Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?BUY0.87$27.87
09-12 11:56Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?SELL0.778$18.21
09-12 11:49Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?BUY0.87$87.00
09-12 11:48Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?BUY0.79$36.65
09-12 11:39Will Jérôme Guedj finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?BUY0.91$91.00