Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.80. down 0.05 over the period, from 0.85. Range 0.75 to 0.86. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.81	20	20
0.82	20	40
0.83	270	310
0.85	225	535
0.86	1,000	1,535
0.89	114	1,649
0.90	40	1,689
0.91	64	1,753
0.92	6	1,759
0.93	14	1,773
0.94	150	1,922
0.95	531	2,454

Spread0.02Mid0.80

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.79	60	60
0.72	10	70
0.71	11	81
0.66	120	201
0.65	100	301
0.61	78	378
0.60	134	512
0.59	150	662
0.58	150	812
0.51	5	817
0.48	6	823
0.39	50	873

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.21	60	60
0.28	10	70
0.29	11	81
0.34	120	201
0.35	100	301
0.39	78	378
0.40	134	512
0.41	150	662
0.42	150	812
0.49	5	817
0.52	6	823
0.61	50	873

Spread0.02Mid0.20

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.19	20	20
0.18	20	40
0.17	270	310
0.15	225	535
0.14	1,000	1,535
0.11	114	1,649
0.10	40	1,689
0.09	64	1,753
0.08	6	1,759
0.07	14	1,773
0.06	150	1,922
0.05	531	2,454

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
folioquant	Yes	2,532.34
pragmat1sm	Yes	1,321.21
helpinghans	Yes	119.99
wpovniweijfowjp	Yes	69.99
0xd8fa…581f	Yes	37.23
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935	Yes	27.2
GuyFromTinder	Yes	20
NeevS	Yes	20
winexecutescale	Yes	13
Computerdude111	Yes	5.01
ilovecarrots	Yes	5
Mojito9	Yes	3.26
0xace5…7083	Yes	3.03
0x08Cda2c59FA7b6F80CbBdb54cF08A695C6A4C2e9-1782355533298	Yes	2.9
a5533	Yes	2.89
Rushmore98	Yes	2.55
chessplayer	Yes	1.01
Olcan	No	2,125.95
SteviaDaddy	No	723.83
Jet9	No	400

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
16:49:16	SELL	No	0.24	58	$13.92
16:47:30	SELL	No	0.295	40	$11.80
16:46:40	BUY	No	0.3	20	$6.00
16:46:40	BUY	No	0.25	60	$15.00
07:38:22	BUY	Yes	0.77	29	$22.58
06:47:22	SELL	No	0.27	30	$8.10
06:47:15	SELL	No	0.29	30	$8.70
06:46:52	BUY	No	0.2414935169	62	$15.09
06:46:31	SELL	Yes	0.76	20	$15.20
06:46:28	BUY	No	0.17	20	$3.40
15:26:20	SELL	Yes	0.83	200	$166.00
22:07:45	BUY	Yes	0.87	20	$17.40
18:39:19	BUY	No	0.16	19	$3.04
18:25:12	SELL	No	0.13	19	$2.47
18:25:10	SELL	No	0.13	19	$2.47
16:45:00	SELL	Yes	0.84	10	$8.40
16:37:46	SELL	Yes	0.84	19	$15.84
15:54:34	SELL	Yes	0.83	19	$15.65
15:54:33	SELL	Yes	0.83	19	$15.65
15:54:31	SELL	Yes	0.83	106	$87.81
11:56:18	SELL	Yes	0.83	1	$0.99
06:58:03	SELL	Yes	0.83	0	$0.22
23:10:34	BUY	No	0.16	7	$1.08
23:10:33	SELL	Yes	0.84	1	$0.86
23:10:31	SELL	Yes	0.8476923077	26	$22.04