Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.79. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.77. Range 0.70 to 0.84. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	180	180
0.81	50	230
0.84	174	404
0.86	776	1,180
0.88	67	1,247
0.89	5	1,252
0.91	39	1,291
0.92	5	1,296
0.93	14	1,310
0.96	25	1,335
0.97	8	1,343
0.98	50	1,393

Spread0.03Mid0.79

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.77	155	155
0.76	147	302
0.74	100	402
0.72	20	422
0.62	13	435
0.61	11	447
0.60	164	610
0.51	5	615
0.20	66	681
0.19	100	781
0.17	50	831
0.15	40	871

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.23	155	155
0.24	147	302
0.26	100	402
0.28	20	422
0.38	13	435
0.39	11	447
0.40	164	610
0.49	5	615
0.80	66	681
0.81	100	781
0.83	50	831
0.85	40	871

Spread0.03Mid0.22

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	180	180
0.19	50	230
0.16	174	404
0.14	776	1,180
0.12	67	1,247
0.11	5	1,252
0.09	39	1,291
0.08	5	1,296
0.07	14	1,310
0.04	25	1,335
0.03	8	1,343
0.02	50	1,393

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
folioquant	Yes	1,654.11
SteviaDaddy	Yes	776.17
helpinghans	Yes	119.99
wpovniweijfowjp	Yes	69.99
NeevS	Yes	30
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935	Yes	27.2
ddaasdf	Yes	8
ilovecarrots	Yes	5
0xaF05465D8f88a8Aad0BD916d23fA781BaA8a33E2-1781769499788	Yes	5
AlvisLi-FutureTopInvestor	Yes	4.97
Mojito9	Yes	3.26
0xace5…7083	Yes	3.03
0x08Cda2c59FA7b6F80CbBdb54cF08A695C6A4C2e9-1782355533298	Yes	2.9
a5533	Yes	2.89
Rushmore98	Yes	2.55
Dr.PNL	Yes	1.03
chessplayer	Yes	1.01
Olcan	No	1,338.65
Jet9	No	400
LornaPredicts	No	184.71

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:52:16	BUY	No	0.2	29	$5.75
20:51:40	BUY	No	0.24	8	$1.94
20:51:04	BUY	Yes	0.78	8	$6.42
20:50:28	BUY	Yes	0.79	20	$15.80
20:50:28	BUY	Yes	0.7899999944	19	$15.39
20:50:28	SELL	No	0.225	40	$9.00
05:35:53	BUY	No	0.24	20	$4.80
05:33:03	BUY	Yes	0.72	20	$14.40
23:35:39	BUY	No	0.2	20	$4.00
20:05:12	BUY	Yes	0.72	20	$14.40
20:05:11	BUY	Yes	0.69	20	$13.80
20:05:11	BUY	Yes	0.69	20	$13.80
18:44:48	BUY	Yes	0.72	20	$14.40
17:40:24	SELL	No	0.3	20	$6.00
17:38:24	BUY	Yes	0.8	20	$16.00
17:38:24	BUY	Yes	0.77	42	$32.34
10:55:18	SELL	No	0.2	1	$0.10
09:52:39	BUY	No	0.24	20	$4.80
08:00:36	BUY	Yes	0.68	20	$13.60
07:56:23	BUY	No	0.22	20	$4.40
07:56:23	BUY	No	0.23	20	$4.60
05:38:16	SELL	No	0.21	20	$4.09
05:38:10	BUY	Yes	0.76	20	$14.82
05:38:10	SELL	No	0.25	20	$5.00
04:38:09	BUY	Yes	0.71	40	$28.40